Equity Profile

TJX

The TJX Companies, Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryApparel Retail$166.3B

May20Wed

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2027Pre-Market7:30 AM EDT

TJX Companies Beats on EPS, Stock Up 5.66%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.19	$1.01	+18.17%
Revenue	N/A	$14.0B	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

TJX Companies Beats on EPS, Stock Up 5.66%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.19	$1.01	+18.17%
Revenue	N/A	$14.0B	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.

What It Means

TJX Companies reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which contributed to a positive stock reaction, with shares rising by 5.66%. The strong EPS performance suggests the company is managing costs effectively and possibly benefiting from increased consumer spending. However, the lack of revenue data and guidance leaves some uncertainty about future performance.

Company Snapshot

The TJX Companies, Inc. operates as a leading off-price retailer of apparel and home goods....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well TJX is managing costs and sales.

$1.01

Revenue

Total revenue gives insight into overall sales performance and demand for TJX's products.

$14.0B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

The TJX Companies, Inc. operates as a leading off-price retailer of apparel and home goods. With a market cap of $166 billion, it plays a significant role in the consumer discretionary sector, benefiting from trends in consumer spending and value-seeking behavior.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+6.42%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.56%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2026, TJX reported an EPS of $1.43, beating estimates by 3.32%. However, the stock fell 1.17% the following day, indicating cautious investor sentiment despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect TJX to report solid earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $1.01 and revenue of $14.0 billion. The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in recent quarters, which could set a positive tone.

Bull Case

If TJX continues its trend of beating earnings estimates, it could see a strong stock price reaction, especially if management provides positive guidance for future quarters.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if TJX fails to meet expectations or provides cautious guidance, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors, especially given recent stock performance.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.01

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well TJX is managing costs and sales.

Revenue

$14.0B

Total revenue gives insight into overall sales performance and demand for TJX's products.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will TJX's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.01?

A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's strong performance trend and could lead to a positive stock reaction.

What guidance will management provide regarding future revenue growth?

Investors will be keen to understand how TJX plans to navigate the current retail environment and any potential challenges ahead.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate TJX's ability to sustain its earnings growth due to its strong value proposition in a challenging retail environment.

Supporting Evidence

TJX has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past eight quarters, indicating strong operational execution.

The options market is pricing for a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Recent consumer spending trends favor off-price retailers, which could benefit TJX.

Key Risk

If revenue growth falls below $13.8 billion, it could raise concerns about demand and market conditions.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether TJX can maintain its growth momentum amidst a competitive retail landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.06 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.99 would signal potential issues in sales or cost management.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.3%

Historical Avg

±2.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a larger move than the stock's historical average, suggesting investors are expecting significant volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±4.3% while TJX has averaged ±2.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

21.4%

Calls (294K)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (116K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If TJX beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 1.29%, confirming the bullish sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest the outlook.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 2.89%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on sales trends in key product categories.
2Management's commentary on inventory levels and supply chain challenges.
3Insights into customer behavior and spending patterns.
4Any changes to store expansion plans or new market entries.
5Guidance on future earnings and revenue expectations.

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Company Snapshot

The TJX Companies, Inc. operates as a leading off-price retailer of apparel and home goods....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well TJX is managing costs and sales.

$1.01

Revenue

Total revenue gives insight into overall sales performance and demand for TJX's products.

$14.0B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+6.42%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.56%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2026, TJX reported an EPS of $1.43, beating estimates by 3.32%. However, the stock fell 1.17% the following day, indicating cautious investor sentiment despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If TJX continues its trend of beating earnings estimates, it could see a strong stock price reaction, especially if management provides positive guidance for future quarters.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if TJX fails to meet expectations or provides cautious guidance, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors, especially given recent stock performance.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.01

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well TJX is managing costs and sales.

Revenue

$14.0B

Total revenue gives insight into overall sales performance and demand for TJX's products.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will TJX's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.01?

A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's strong performance trend and could lead to a positive stock reaction.

What guidance will management provide regarding future revenue growth?

Investors will be keen to understand how TJX plans to navigate the current retail environment and any potential challenges ahead.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate TJX's ability to sustain its earnings growth due to its strong value proposition in a challenging retail environment.

Supporting Evidence

TJX has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past eight quarters, indicating strong operational execution.

The options market is pricing for a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Recent consumer spending trends favor off-price retailers, which could benefit TJX.

Key Risk

If revenue growth falls below $13.8 billion, it could raise concerns about demand and market conditions.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether TJX can maintain its growth momentum amidst a competitive retail landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.06 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.99 would signal potential issues in sales or cost management.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.3%

Historical Avg

±2.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a larger move than the stock's historical average, suggesting investors are expecting significant volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±4.3% while TJX has averaged ±2.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

21.4%

Calls (294K)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (116K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If TJX beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 1.29%, confirming the bullish sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest the outlook.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 2.89%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on sales trends in key product categories.
2Management's commentary on inventory levels and supply chain challenges.
3Insights into customer behavior and spending patterns.
4Any changes to store expansion plans or new market entries.
5Guidance on future earnings and revenue expectations.