Equity Profile

TTE

TotalEnergies SE

EnergyIntegrated Oil & Gas$197.6B

Feb11Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2025Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

TotalEnergies SE is a major player in the energy sector, focusing on integrated oil and gas operations. As the world shifts towards renewable energy, TotalEnergies is also investing in sustainable energy solutions, making it a key company to watch in the evolving energy landscape.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company managed costs and revenue during the quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects TotalEnergies' ability to increase sales in a competitive market, especially amid fluctuating oil prices.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TTE Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-2.35%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2025, TotalEnergies reported an EPS of $1.77, slightly missing estimates. The stock reacted negatively, reflecting investor concerns about performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about TotalEnergies' upcoming earnings, hoping for a rebound after recent misses. However, uncertainty remains due to volatile energy prices.

Bull Case

If TotalEnergies can show improved EPS and revenue growth, it may signal a recovery and boost investor confidence in its long-term strategy.

Bear Case

Conversely, another earnings miss could raise concerns about the company's operational efficiency and its ability to navigate the current energy market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to the previous quarters?

Given the recent trend of missing EPS estimates, a strong performance this quarter could restore investor confidence.

How is TotalEnergies managing its costs in light of fluctuating oil prices?

Cost management is crucial for profitability, especially in a volatile market, and could significantly impact future earnings.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating TotalEnergies' ability to adapt to the current energy landscape, especially with its investments in renewables.

Supporting Evidence

Despite recent misses, TotalEnergies has a strong pipeline of renewable projects that could drive future growth.

The options market is pricing in a higher move than historical averages, suggesting that traders are anticipating a significant shift.

Management's focus on cost control could lead to better-than-expected margins, even in a tough market.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in above $1.85, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift investor expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a series of earnings misses, and investors are looking for signs of improvement.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.85 or higher would confirm the bull case and indicate a strong recovery.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.70 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about operational efficiency.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.71%

Historical Avg

±1.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 2.71%, indicating that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±2.7% while TTE has averaged ±1.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.4%

Calls (14K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (12K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If TotalEnergies beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.50%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

A cautious in-line report may lead to muted reactions, as investors will focus on management's commentary for future guidance.

Miss

If the company misses again, history indicates a potential drop of about 1.82%, which could further shake investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
2Any updates on renewable energy projects and their expected contributions to revenue.
3Management's outlook on oil prices and how it plans to navigate volatility.
4Insights into operational efficiencies and any changes in production levels.
5Guidance on future earnings expectations and capital expenditures.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company managed costs and revenue during the quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects TotalEnergies' ability to increase sales in a competitive market, especially amid fluctuating oil prices.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TTE Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-2.35%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2025, TotalEnergies reported an EPS of $1.77, slightly missing estimates. The stock reacted negatively, reflecting investor concerns about performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about TotalEnergies' upcoming earnings, hoping for a rebound after recent misses. However, uncertainty remains due to volatile energy prices.

Bull Case

If TotalEnergies can show improved EPS and revenue growth, it may signal a recovery and boost investor confidence in its long-term strategy.

Bear Case

Conversely, another earnings miss could raise concerns about the company's operational efficiency and its ability to navigate the current energy market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to the previous quarters?

Given the recent trend of missing EPS estimates, a strong performance this quarter could restore investor confidence.

How is TotalEnergies managing its costs in light of fluctuating oil prices?

Cost management is crucial for profitability, especially in a volatile market, and could significantly impact future earnings.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating TotalEnergies' ability to adapt to the current energy landscape, especially with its investments in renewables.

Supporting Evidence

Despite recent misses, TotalEnergies has a strong pipeline of renewable projects that could drive future growth.

The options market is pricing in a higher move than historical averages, suggesting that traders are anticipating a significant shift.

Management's focus on cost control could lead to better-than-expected margins, even in a tough market.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in above $1.85, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift investor expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a series of earnings misses, and investors are looking for signs of improvement.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.85 or higher would confirm the bull case and indicate a strong recovery.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.70 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about operational efficiency.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.71%

Historical Avg

±1.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 2.71%, indicating that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±2.7% while TTE has averaged ±1.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.4%

Calls (14K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (12K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If TotalEnergies beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.50%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

A cautious in-line report may lead to muted reactions, as investors will focus on management's commentary for future guidance.

Miss

If the company misses again, history indicates a potential drop of about 1.82%, which could further shake investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
2Any updates on renewable energy projects and their expected contributions to revenue.
3Management's outlook on oil prices and how it plans to navigate volatility.
4Insights into operational efficiencies and any changes in production levels.
5Guidance on future earnings expectations and capital expenditures.