Equity Profile

TXRH

Texas Roadhouse, Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryRestaurants$13.6B

May7Thu

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026After Close4:03 PM EDT

Texas Roadhouse Beats on EPS, Stock Down 1.1%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.87	$1.80	+0.11%
Revenue	N/A	$1.6B	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Texas Roadhouse Beats on EPS, Stock Down 1.1%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.87	$1.80	+0.11%
Revenue	N/A	$1.6B	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.

What It Means

Texas Roadhouse reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which is a positive sign for the company. However, the stock fell by 1.1% following the earnings release, indicating that investors may have been disappointed by the lack of revenue information and guidance. The absence of management commentary could also contribute to uncertainty among investors.

Company Snapshot

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is a popular restaurant chain known for its casual dining experience and hand-cut steaks....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and revenues.

$1.80

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and customer traffic, which are vital for assessing growth.

$1.6B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is a popular restaurant chain known for its casual dining experience and hand-cut steaks. As part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, its performance is closely tied to consumer spending trends, making it a key player in the restaurant industry.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-2.35%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.67%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Texas Roadhouse reported an EPS of $1.28, which was below analyst expectations, leading to a negative market reaction. The stock fell by 2.32% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Texas Roadhouse to report an EPS of $1.80 and revenue of $1.6B for Q1-2026, with some uncertainty due to recent performance trends.

Bull Case

If Texas Roadhouse can exceed EPS expectations, it may signal strong customer demand and effective cost management, potentially boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses EPS estimates again, it could raise concerns about its ability to attract customers and manage expenses, leading to further stock declines.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.80

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and revenues.

Revenue

$1.6B

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and customer traffic, which are vital for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Texas Roadhouse achieve an EPS of at least $1.80?

This number is crucial for assessing the company's profitability and could significantly impact investor sentiment.

How has customer traffic changed compared to last quarter?

Understanding customer trends will provide insights into the company's ability to drive revenue growth in a competitive environment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of rising consumer spending on dining out, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

Recent trends indicate increased consumer spending in the restaurant sector, which could benefit Texas Roadhouse.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Despite recent misses, Texas Roadhouse has a loyal customer base that may drive better performance.

Key Risk

If customer traffic shows significant improvement, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Texas Roadhouse's ability to rebound from recent earnings misses and demonstrate growth.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.80 or higher would confirm strong demand and effective cost management.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.58 would signal ongoing challenges in attracting customers and managing costs.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.56%

Historical Avg

±1.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±7.6% while TXRH has averaged ±1.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

3.3%

30d HV

27.2%

Calls (134K)P/C Ratio: 0.87Puts (11K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Texas Roadhouse beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of +0.34%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty about future growth.

Miss

If the company misses earnings expectations again, history suggests a potential average one-day decline of -0.64%, raising concerns among investors.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on customer traffic trends compared to last quarter.
2Insights into cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
3Comments on menu changes or promotions that could drive sales.
4Management's outlook on the broader economic environment and its impact on consumer spending.
5Any guidance on future revenue expectations or strategic initiatives.

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Company Snapshot

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is a popular restaurant chain known for its casual dining experience and hand-cut steaks....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and revenues.

$1.80

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and customer traffic, which are vital for assessing growth.

$1.6B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-2.35%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.67%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Texas Roadhouse reported an EPS of $1.28, which was below analyst expectations, leading to a negative market reaction. The stock fell by 2.32% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Texas Roadhouse to report an EPS of $1.80 and revenue of $1.6B for Q1-2026, with some uncertainty due to recent performance trends.

Bull Case

If Texas Roadhouse can exceed EPS expectations, it may signal strong customer demand and effective cost management, potentially boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses EPS estimates again, it could raise concerns about its ability to attract customers and manage expenses, leading to further stock declines.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.80

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and revenues.

Revenue

$1.6B

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and customer traffic, which are vital for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Texas Roadhouse achieve an EPS of at least $1.80?

This number is crucial for assessing the company's profitability and could significantly impact investor sentiment.

How has customer traffic changed compared to last quarter?

Understanding customer trends will provide insights into the company's ability to drive revenue growth in a competitive environment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of rising consumer spending on dining out, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

Recent trends indicate increased consumer spending in the restaurant sector, which could benefit Texas Roadhouse.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Despite recent misses, Texas Roadhouse has a loyal customer base that may drive better performance.

Key Risk

If customer traffic shows significant improvement, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Texas Roadhouse's ability to rebound from recent earnings misses and demonstrate growth.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.80 or higher would confirm strong demand and effective cost management.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.58 would signal ongoing challenges in attracting customers and managing costs.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.56%

Historical Avg

±1.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±7.6% while TXRH has averaged ±1.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

3.3%

30d HV

27.2%

Calls (134K)P/C Ratio: 0.87Puts (11K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Texas Roadhouse beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of +0.34%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty about future growth.

Miss

If the company misses earnings expectations again, history suggests a potential average one-day decline of -0.64%, raising concerns among investors.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on customer traffic trends compared to last quarter.
2Insights into cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
3Comments on menu changes or promotions that could drive sales.
4Management's outlook on the broader economic environment and its impact on consumer spending.
5Any guidance on future revenue expectations or strategic initiatives.