Equity Profile

VSAT

Viasat, Inc.

Information TechnologyCommunications Equipment$9.5B

May14Fri

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Viasat, Inc. is a technology company that specializes in communications equipment, providing satellite and broadband services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will indicate how well Viasat is expanding its customer base and market share.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

VSAT Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Viasat, Inc. is a technology company that specializes in communications equipment, providing satellite and broadband services. With a market cap of $9 billion, Viasat plays a significant role in the growing demand for high-speed internet and connectivity solutions, particularly in remote areas and for defense applications.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+249.69%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.23%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Viasat reported an impressive EPS of $0.79, significantly beating expectations. However, the stock fell 5.65% the following day, indicating that investors may have had higher expectations or concerns about future performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to innovate in satellite technology.
Expand broadband services to underserved areas.
Focus on improving customer satisfaction and retention.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Viasat's upcoming earnings are mixed, with no analyst estimates available. The stock has shown volatility in response to past earnings surprises, which could lead to significant market reactions.

Bull Case

If Viasat continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could boost investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sharp decline in stock price, especially given the recent volatility.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given Viasat's history of beating EPS estimates, the market will closely watch this figure to gauge ongoing profitability.

What is the current subscriber count and growth rate?

Subscriber growth is critical for Viasat's revenue and market position, and any significant changes could impact investor sentiment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Viasat's ability to maintain subscriber growth despite recent challenges, as historical trends show a consistent ability to beat EPS estimates.

Supporting Evidence

Viasat has a 100% EPS beat rate in recent quarters, indicating strong operational performance.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, reflecting heightened expectations.

Recent subscriber growth trends have been positive, suggesting resilience in demand.

Key Risk

If subscriber growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter market perceptions and lead to a positive revaluation.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will be pivotal in determining Viasat's trajectory, especially given its recent history of earnings surprises.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.80 or higher with strong subscriber growth would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.50 or stagnant subscriber growth would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±11.49%

Historical Avg

±2.8%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±11.5% while VSAT has averaged ±2.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

69.5%

Calls (226K)P/C Ratio: 0.77Puts (83K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Information Technology

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 4 of 9 faded and 5 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -0.5% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Viasat beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.98%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in management's commentary.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating a potential drop of about 5.65% following disappointing results.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new satellite launches and their expected impact on service quality.
2Details on customer acquisition strategies and retention rates.
3Insights into competitive pressures in the broadband market.
4Management's outlook on future revenue growth and market expansion.
5Any commentary on cost management and operational efficiencies.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Viasat, Inc. is a technology company that specializes in communications equipment, providing satellite and broadband services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will indicate how well Viasat is expanding its customer base and market share.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

VSAT Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+249.69%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.23%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to innovate in satellite technology.
Expand broadband services to underserved areas.
Focus on improving customer satisfaction and retention.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Viasat continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could boost investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sharp decline in stock price, especially given the recent volatility.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given Viasat's history of beating EPS estimates, the market will closely watch this figure to gauge ongoing profitability.

What is the current subscriber count and growth rate?

Subscriber growth is critical for Viasat's revenue and market position, and any significant changes could impact investor sentiment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Viasat's ability to maintain subscriber growth despite recent challenges, as historical trends show a consistent ability to beat EPS estimates.

Supporting Evidence

Viasat has a 100% EPS beat rate in recent quarters, indicating strong operational performance.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, reflecting heightened expectations.

Recent subscriber growth trends have been positive, suggesting resilience in demand.

Key Risk

If subscriber growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter market perceptions and lead to a positive revaluation.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will be pivotal in determining Viasat's trajectory, especially given its recent history of earnings surprises.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.80 or higher with strong subscriber growth would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.50 or stagnant subscriber growth would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±11.49%

Historical Avg

±2.8%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±11.5% while VSAT has averaged ±2.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

69.5%

Calls (226K)P/C Ratio: 0.77Puts (83K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Information Technology

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Viasat beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.98%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in management's commentary.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating a potential drop of about 5.65% following disappointing results.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new satellite launches and their expected impact on service quality.
2Details on customer acquisition strategies and retention rates.
3Insights into competitive pressures in the broadband market.
4Management's outlook on future revenue growth and market expansion.
5Any commentary on cost management and operational efficiencies.