Equity Profile

VSAT

Viasat, Inc.

Information TechnologyCommunications Equipment$9.5B

May14Fri

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Viasat, Inc. is a technology company that provides satellite and broadband communications services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS Growth

Earnings per share growth is a key indicator of profitability and financial health, which investors will scrutinize this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Performance

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's ability to capitalize on market demand for its services.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

VSAT Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Viasat, Inc. is a technology company that provides satellite and broadband communications services. With a market cap of $9 billion, it plays a crucial role in the growing demand for high-speed internet and connectivity solutions across various sectors, including aviation and maritime.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+249.69%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.23%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Viasat reported an impressive earnings surprise of 906% with an EPS of $0.79, significantly outperforming expectations. However, the stock fell by 5.65% the following day, indicating market skepticism despite the strong earnings.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding broadband services.
Commitment to enhancing satellite technology.
Plans to increase customer acquisition efforts.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as Viasat has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, but the stock's reaction has been volatile. Investors are keen to see if the company can maintain its growth trajectory amidst competitive pressures.

Bull Case

The optimistic view hinges on continued strong earnings growth and successful customer acquisition strategies, which could drive the stock higher.

Bear Case

The pessimistic outlook considers potential challenges in revenue growth and increased competition, which could lead to disappointing results.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected customer growth rate for the upcoming quarter?

Customer growth is crucial for Viasat's future revenue and profitability, and any shortfall could impact investor confidence.

How does management plan to address competitive pressures in the broadband market?

Understanding management's strategy to combat competition will be key for investors assessing the company's long-term viability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Viasat's potential for customer growth due to its recent technological advancements and market expansion strategies.

Supporting Evidence

Viasat has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger-than-expected performance.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, reflecting uncertainty that may not be fully captured in consensus estimates.

Key Risk

If customer growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter the market's perception of Viasat's future prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance hinges on Viasat's ability to grow its customer base and maintain revenue momentum in a competitive landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving customer growth of 10% or more compared to the previous quarter would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in customer numbers or revenue growth below 5% would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±11.49%

Historical Avg

±2.8%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±11.5% while VSAT has averaged ±2.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

69.5%

Calls (226K)P/C Ratio: 0.77Puts (83K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Information Technology

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 4 of 9 faded and 5 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -0.5% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Viasat beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of around +4.98%.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management is cautious, the stock may react moderately, reflecting uncertainty.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical averages suggesting a potential drop of around -5.65%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on customer acquisition strategies and growth metrics.
2Updates on competitive positioning in the broadband market.
3Insights into new technology developments and their impact on service offerings.
4Management's outlook on revenue growth for the next quarter.
5Any commentary on market trends affecting demand for satellite communications.

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Company Snapshot

Viasat, Inc. is a technology company that provides satellite and broadband communications services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS Growth

Earnings per share growth is a key indicator of profitability and financial health, which investors will scrutinize this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Performance

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's ability to capitalize on market demand for its services.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

VSAT Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+249.69%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.23%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding broadband services.
Commitment to enhancing satellite technology.
Plans to increase customer acquisition efforts.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

The optimistic view hinges on continued strong earnings growth and successful customer acquisition strategies, which could drive the stock higher.

Bear Case

The pessimistic outlook considers potential challenges in revenue growth and increased competition, which could lead to disappointing results.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected customer growth rate for the upcoming quarter?

Customer growth is crucial for Viasat's future revenue and profitability, and any shortfall could impact investor confidence.

How does management plan to address competitive pressures in the broadband market?

Understanding management's strategy to combat competition will be key for investors assessing the company's long-term viability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Viasat's potential for customer growth due to its recent technological advancements and market expansion strategies.

Supporting Evidence

Viasat has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger-than-expected performance.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, reflecting uncertainty that may not be fully captured in consensus estimates.

Key Risk

If customer growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter the market's perception of Viasat's future prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance hinges on Viasat's ability to grow its customer base and maintain revenue momentum in a competitive landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving customer growth of 10% or more compared to the previous quarter would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in customer numbers or revenue growth below 5% would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±11.49%

Historical Avg

±2.8%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±11.5% while VSAT has averaged ±2.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

69.5%

Calls (226K)P/C Ratio: 0.77Puts (83K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Information Technology

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Viasat beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of around +4.98%.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management is cautious, the stock may react moderately, reflecting uncertainty.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical averages suggesting a potential drop of around -5.65%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on customer acquisition strategies and growth metrics.
2Updates on competitive positioning in the broadband market.
3Insights into new technology developments and their impact on service offerings.
4Management's outlook on revenue growth for the next quarter.
5Any commentary on market trends affecting demand for satellite communications.