Equity Profile

WMT

Walmart Inc.

Consumer StaplesConsumer Staples Merchandise Retail$947.9B

May21Thu

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2027Pre-Market7:02 AM EDT

Walmart Beats on EPS, Stock Up 0.02%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.66	$0.66	+1.07%
Revenue	N/A	$172.2B	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Walmart Beats on EPS, Stock Up 0.02%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.66	$0.66	+1.07%
Revenue	N/A	$172.2B	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

Walmart's earnings report shows that the company met expectations on EPS, which led to a slight increase in stock price. However, there was no revenue figure reported, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance. The minimal stock reaction suggests that investors may have been expecting the results.

Company Snapshot

Walmart Inc. is a leading retailer in the consumer staples sector, known for its wide range of merchandise and low prices....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and is closely watched by investors.

0.66

Revenue

Revenue figures show the company's ability to generate sales and are essential for assessing growth.

172.2B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Walmart Inc. is a leading retailer in the consumer staples sector, known for its wide range of merchandise and low prices. As a major player in the retail industry, it plays a crucial role in consumer spending and economic trends.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.52%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.52%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2026, Walmart reported an EPS of $0.74, slightly beating expectations. However, the stock fell 1.38% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Walmart to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $0.66 and revenue of $172.2 billion. The market is looking for signs of continued resilience in consumer spending.

Bull Case

If Walmart beats earnings expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust consumer demand and operational efficiency, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses earnings estimates or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about consumer spending slowing down, negatively impacting the stock.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

0.66

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and is closely watched by investors.

Revenue

172.2B

Revenue figures show the company's ability to generate sales and are essential for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Walmart's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.66?

A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and consumer demand, which is crucial for investor confidence.

What guidance will Walmart provide for future revenue growth?

Future revenue guidance will be critical in assessing the company's outlook and ability to navigate changing consumer spending patterns.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Walmart's ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences, particularly in e-commerce and grocery sectors.

Supporting Evidence

Walmart has consistently beaten EPS estimates, with an 88% beat rate over the last eight quarters.

The options market is pricing a 5.04% move, suggesting traders expect significant volatility, which may not align with consensus expectations.

Insider selling activity could indicate confidence in operational performance despite broader market concerns.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds $174B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment on consumer spending.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Walmart can sustain its growth amidst changing consumer behaviors and economic pressures.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.70 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating stronger than expected profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.63 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about profitability and consumer demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.04%

Historical Avg

±4.5%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, suggesting that traders expect volatility.

Options are pricing ±4.6% while WMT has averaged ±4.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

21.3%

Calls (4.6M)P/C Ratio: 1.40Puts (5.1M)

Edge

Insider Activity

Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.

Bought

$0.00

0 sh

0 insiders

Sold

$4.7M

36,776 sh

4 insiders

Net

$4.7M

Net selling

Most Active Insiders· 6 open-market trades

President & CEOFurner John R.
$1.6M
Net selling

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Walmart beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.09%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further commentary from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 4.49%, reflecting concerns about consumer spending and profitability.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$52,003.00–$130,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-VAJohn McGuireRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on e-commerce sales growth and its impact on overall revenue.
2Insights into inventory management and supply chain efficiency.
3Comments on consumer spending trends and how they are affecting sales.
4Guidance on future revenue expectations and any strategic initiatives.
5Reactions to competitive pressures in the retail sector.

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Company Snapshot

Walmart Inc. is a leading retailer in the consumer staples sector, known for its wide range of merchandise and low prices....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and is closely watched by investors.

0.66

Revenue

Revenue figures show the company's ability to generate sales and are essential for assessing growth.

172.2B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.52%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.52%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2026, Walmart reported an EPS of $0.74, slightly beating expectations. However, the stock fell 1.38% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Walmart to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $0.66 and revenue of $172.2 billion. The market is looking for signs of continued resilience in consumer spending.

Bull Case

If Walmart beats earnings expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust consumer demand and operational efficiency, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses earnings estimates or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about consumer spending slowing down, negatively impacting the stock.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

0.66

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and is closely watched by investors.

Revenue

172.2B

Revenue figures show the company's ability to generate sales and are essential for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Walmart's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.66?

A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and consumer demand, which is crucial for investor confidence.

What guidance will Walmart provide for future revenue growth?

Future revenue guidance will be critical in assessing the company's outlook and ability to navigate changing consumer spending patterns.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Walmart's ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences, particularly in e-commerce and grocery sectors.

Supporting Evidence

Walmart has consistently beaten EPS estimates, with an 88% beat rate over the last eight quarters.

The options market is pricing a 5.04% move, suggesting traders expect significant volatility, which may not align with consensus expectations.

Insider selling activity could indicate confidence in operational performance despite broader market concerns.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds $174B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment on consumer spending.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Walmart can sustain its growth amidst changing consumer behaviors and economic pressures.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.70 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating stronger than expected profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.63 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about profitability and consumer demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.04%

Historical Avg

±4.5%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, suggesting that traders expect volatility.

Options are pricing ±4.6% while WMT has averaged ±4.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

21.3%

Calls (4.6M)P/C Ratio: 1.40Puts (5.1M)

Edge

Insider Activity

Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.

Bought

$0.00

0 sh

0 insiders

Sold

$4.7M

36,776 sh

4 insiders

Net

$4.7M

Net selling

Most Active Insiders· 6 open-market trades

President & CEOFurner John R.
$1.6M
Net selling

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Walmart beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.09%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further commentary from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 4.49%, reflecting concerns about consumer spending and profitability.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$52,003.00–$130,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-VAJohn McGuireRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on e-commerce sales growth and its impact on overall revenue.
2Insights into inventory management and supply chain efficiency.
3Comments on consumer spending trends and how they are affecting sales.
4Guidance on future revenue expectations and any strategic initiatives.
5Reactions to competitive pressures in the retail sector.