Equity Profile
Pre-Earnings Brief
Zeta Global Holdings Corp. is a technology company specializing in application software, focusing on data-driven marketing solutions....
EPS
Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be looking for signs of improvement after recent losses.
Revenue
Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's ability to scale its operations and attract new clients.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
38%
Avg EPS Surprise
-16.83%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.25%
In Q1 2025, Zeta reported an EPS of -$0.10, missing expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 3.29% the following day despite the miss.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic, expecting Zeta to report a modest profit this quarter. The consensus EPS estimate is $0.12, indicating a potential turnaround.
Bull Case
If Zeta can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a recovery and attract more investors.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it could raise concerns about its long-term viability and lead to a significant sell-off.
EPS
$0.12Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be looking for signs of improvement after recent losses.
Revenue
$370MRevenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's ability to scale its operations and attract new clients.
Expectations
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will Zeta achieve an EPS of at least $0.12?
This figure is critical for demonstrating a turnaround in profitability and could influence investor sentiment.
Q2
What is the revenue growth compared to the consensus of $370M?
Revenue performance will indicate the company's ability to attract and retain clients in a competitive market.
Edge
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating Zeta's potential for a turnaround, as recent trends in consumer data utilization suggest stronger demand for its services than reflected in the consensus.
Supporting Evidence
Options are pricing a 33.3% move, indicating expectations of significant volatility that may not align with recent performance.
The stock has historically reacted positively to earnings surprises, even when missing EPS expectations.
Key Risk
If Zeta can demonstrate a clear path to profitability with strong revenue growth, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Edge
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is pivotal as it could signal whether Zeta is on a path to recovery or facing ongoing challenges.
Bull Confirmed If
Achieving an EPS of $0.12 or better with revenue exceeding $370M would confirm the bull case.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.07 or revenue significantly under $369M would support the bear case.
Pre-Earnings Positioning
Implied Move
±33.3%
Historical Avg
±3.3%
The options market is pricing in a large potential move, suggesting that traders expect significant volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±33.3% while ZETA has averaged ±3.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.7%
30d HV
64.8%
Edge
Cross-company pattern from 16 similar setups.
Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Information Technology
n=16Fade rate: 1 of 11 (9%)
This setup has occurred 16 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 10 of 11 (91%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 8.0%, with a raw directional average of +0.7% (modestly positive historical bias).
Edge
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
83.70%
of float
Insider
2.83%
of float
Holders
495
institutions
Top Holders· as of Dec 2025
Vanguard Group Inc
23,051,314 sh · $404.1M
10.45%
6.1%
Blackrock Inc.
16,780,433 sh · $294.2M
7.61%
-0.1%
Contour Asset Management LLC
11,162,626 sh · $195.7M
5.06%
26.4%
Greenvale Capital, LLP
7,022,666 sh · $123.1M
3.19%
-3.1%
Neuberger Berman Group, LLC
5,759,726 sh · $101.0M
2.61%
3.7%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Preparation
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Zeta beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 3.31%, confirming a positive outlook.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating a potential drop of about 1.61%.
Preparation
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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