Equity Profile

ABG

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Retail$3.6B

Apr28Tue

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market7:00 AM EDT

Asbury Automotive Group Misses on EPS, Stock Down 1.49%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$5.37	$5.62	-5.42%
Revenue	N/A	$4.4B	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Asbury Automotive Group Misses on EPS, Stock Down 1.49%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$5.37	$5.62	-5.42%
Revenue	N/A	$4.4B	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Cautiously Optimistic

Overall, management expressed a cautious outlook amid ongoing market challenges. They highlighted their focus on operational improvements.

Management acknowledged the challenging market conditions impacting earnings.

They emphasized the importance of maintaining operational efficiency moving forward.

What It Means

Asbury Automotive Group's earnings report showed a miss on EPS expectations, which contributed to a 1.49% decline in stock price. The company did not provide revenue figures, leaving investors without a complete picture. Management's cautious tone suggests they are aware of the challenges ahead but are focusing on improving operations.

Company Snapshot

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) operates in the consumer discretionary sector, focusing on automotive retail....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps gauge the company's financial health.

$5.62

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and market demand for vehicles and services.

$4.4B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) operates in the consumer discretionary sector, focusing on automotive retail. The company plays a significant role in the automotive market, selling new and used vehicles, parts, and services, which are influenced by consumer spending trends and economic conditions.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

+1.41%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.26%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, Asbury reported an EPS of $6.67, slightly missing the estimate of $6.70. The stock reacted negatively, dropping nearly 7% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Asbury to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $5.62 and revenue of $4.4B. The market is looking for signs of resilience in consumer demand amidst economic uncertainties.

Bull Case

If Asbury exceeds EPS expectations, it could signal strong operational efficiency and consumer demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses on EPS or revenue, it may indicate weakening demand or operational challenges, resulting in a negative market response.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$5.62

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps gauge the company's financial health.

Revenue

$4.4B

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and market demand for vehicles and services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $5.62?

A beat on EPS could indicate strong demand and operational efficiency, which would be crucial for investor confidence.

What are the management's insights on consumer demand trends in the automotive market?

Understanding consumer demand is vital for assessing future revenue potential and the company's growth trajectory.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the impact of recent consumer spending trends, which could favor Asbury's performance despite economic headwinds.

Supporting Evidence

Insider buying of $2.2M suggests confidence in the company's future performance.

Options pricing indicates a significant expected move, reflecting uncertainty that may not be fully captured in consensus estimates.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $5.15, it could challenge the current optimistic outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Asbury's ability to navigate current economic conditions and consumer spending trends.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $5.75 or higher would confirm strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $5.15 would signal potential challenges in demand or profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.16%

Historical Avg

±5.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±44.8% while ABG has averaged ±5.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

2.0%

30d HV

27.0%

Calls (700)P/C Ratio: 2.14Puts (2K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Asbury beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.77%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, with investors focusing on management commentary for future guidance.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a decline of about 4.13%, indicating concerns over demand.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on consumer demand trends in the automotive sector.
2Any commentary on operational efficiencies or cost management strategies.
3Insights into inventory levels and supply chain issues.
4Management's outlook on the competitive landscape and market conditions.
5Details on any new initiatives or strategic partnerships.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) operates in the consumer discretionary sector, focusing on automotive retail....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps gauge the company's financial health.

$5.62

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and market demand for vehicles and services.

$4.4B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

+1.41%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.26%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, Asbury reported an EPS of $6.67, slightly missing the estimate of $6.70. The stock reacted negatively, dropping nearly 7% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Asbury to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $5.62 and revenue of $4.4B. The market is looking for signs of resilience in consumer demand amidst economic uncertainties.

Bull Case

If Asbury exceeds EPS expectations, it could signal strong operational efficiency and consumer demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses on EPS or revenue, it may indicate weakening demand or operational challenges, resulting in a negative market response.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$5.62

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps gauge the company's financial health.

Revenue

$4.4B

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and market demand for vehicles and services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $5.62?

A beat on EPS could indicate strong demand and operational efficiency, which would be crucial for investor confidence.

What are the management's insights on consumer demand trends in the automotive market?

Understanding consumer demand is vital for assessing future revenue potential and the company's growth trajectory.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the impact of recent consumer spending trends, which could favor Asbury's performance despite economic headwinds.

Supporting Evidence

Insider buying of $2.2M suggests confidence in the company's future performance.

Options pricing indicates a significant expected move, reflecting uncertainty that may not be fully captured in consensus estimates.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $5.15, it could challenge the current optimistic outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Asbury's ability to navigate current economic conditions and consumer spending trends.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $5.75 or higher would confirm strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $5.15 would signal potential challenges in demand or profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.16%

Historical Avg

±5.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±44.8% while ABG has averaged ±5.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

2.0%

30d HV

27.0%

Calls (700)P/C Ratio: 2.14Puts (2K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Asbury beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.77%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, with investors focusing on management commentary for future guidance.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a decline of about 4.13%, indicating concerns over demand.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on consumer demand trends in the automotive sector.
2Any commentary on operational efficiencies or cost management strategies.
3Insights into inventory levels and supply chain issues.
4Management's outlook on the competitive landscape and market conditions.
5Details on any new initiatives or strategic partnerships.