Equity Profile

ACHC

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.

Health CareHealth Care Facilities$2.1B

Apr29Wed

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026After Close4:05 PM EDT

Acadia Healthcare Beats on EPS, Stock Up 2.47%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.37	$0.26	+31.67%
Revenue	N/A	$824M	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Acadia Healthcare Beats on EPS, Stock Up 2.47%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.37	$0.26	+31.67%
Revenue	N/A	$824M	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

Acadia Healthcare's earnings report showed a significant beat on EPS, which likely contributed to the positive stock reaction of 2.47%. However, the lack of revenue data and management commentary leaves some uncertainty about the overall performance and future outlook. Investors may be encouraged by the strong EPS figure but will need more information to assess the company's direction.

Company Snapshot

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC) operates in the health care sector, focusing on providing behavioral health care services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

$0.26

Revenue

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand and sustain its operations.

$824M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC) operates in the health care sector, focusing on providing behavioral health care services. With a market cap of $3 billion, the company plays a crucial role in addressing mental health needs, which have gained increasing attention in recent years.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+28.28%

Avg Stock Reaction

+3.69%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, Acadia reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly beating expectations of $0.03, which led to a 21.37% increase in stock price the following day. The company has shown a strong ability to exceed earnings expectations in recent quarters.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Acadia to report a modest EPS of $0.26 and revenue of $824 million for Q1 2026. The market is closely watching how the company continues to manage its growth in the behavioral health sector.

Bull Case

If Acadia can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its services, leading to increased investor confidence and a potential stock price rally.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about its growth trajectory and lead to a decline in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.26

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

Revenue

$824M

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand and sustain its operations.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Acadia's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.26?

A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's growth narrative and could lead to a positive stock reaction.

What guidance will Acadia provide regarding revenue growth in the behavioral health sector?

Investors will be keen to understand the company's outlook on demand for its services, which is crucial for future growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Acadia's ability to capitalize on the growing demand for mental health services, particularly given its recent strong performance.

Supporting Evidence

Acadia has a track record of exceeding EPS estimates, with a 75% beat rate over the last eight quarters.

Options pricing suggests a higher expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant reaction.

Key Risk

If Acadia reports an EPS significantly above $0.26, it could challenge the consensus view on its growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Acadia can sustain its recent earnings momentum in a competitive health care environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.29 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.21 would raise concerns about the company's growth prospects.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.65%

Historical Avg

±5.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 12.65%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±12.7% while ACHC has averaged ±5.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

40.9%

Calls (57K)P/C Ratio: 0.09Puts (6K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Health Care

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 23 (30%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Health Care in the last 2 years. 16 of 23 (70%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.2%, with a raw directional average of +0.6% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Acadia beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +4.58%, confirming strong demand for its services.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of about -0.85%, indicating concerns about the company's growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new service offerings or expansions in behavioral health.
2Comments on patient admissions and occupancy rates in facilities.
3Insights into cost management and operational efficiencies.
4Guidance on revenue expectations for the upcoming quarters.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the health care sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Apr27

OMABReported

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.

RecapView

Apr27

PIIReported

Company Snapshot

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC) operates in the health care sector, focusing on providing behavioral health care services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

$0.26

Revenue

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand and sustain its operations.

$824M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+28.28%

Avg Stock Reaction

+3.69%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Acadia can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its services, leading to increased investor confidence and a potential stock price rally.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about its growth trajectory and lead to a decline in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.26

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

Revenue

$824M

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand and sustain its operations.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Acadia's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.26?

A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's growth narrative and could lead to a positive stock reaction.

What guidance will Acadia provide regarding revenue growth in the behavioral health sector?

Investors will be keen to understand the company's outlook on demand for its services, which is crucial for future growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Acadia's ability to capitalize on the growing demand for mental health services, particularly given its recent strong performance.

Supporting Evidence

Acadia has a track record of exceeding EPS estimates, with a 75% beat rate over the last eight quarters.

Options pricing suggests a higher expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant reaction.

Key Risk

If Acadia reports an EPS significantly above $0.26, it could challenge the consensus view on its growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Acadia can sustain its recent earnings momentum in a competitive health care environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.29 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.21 would raise concerns about the company's growth prospects.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.65%

Historical Avg

±5.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 12.65%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±12.7% while ACHC has averaged ±5.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

40.9%

Calls (57K)P/C Ratio: 0.09Puts (6K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Health Care

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 23 (30%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Acadia beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +4.58%, confirming strong demand for its services.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of about -0.85%, indicating concerns about the company's growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new service offerings or expansions in behavioral health.
2Comments on patient admissions and occupancy rates in facilities.
3Insights into cost management and operational efficiencies.
4Guidance on revenue expectations for the upcoming quarters.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the health care sector.