Equity Profile

ARES

Ares Management Corporation

FinancialsAsset Management & Custody Banks$33.7B

Jul30Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Ares Management Corporation is a leading global alternative investment manager in the financial sector, focusing on asset management and custody banking. With a market cap of $34 billion, Ares plays a crucial role in managing investments across various asset classes, which is particularly relevant as investors seek diverse opportunities in a fluctuating economic environment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Ares is managing its investments.

1.27

Revenue

Revenue figures will help assess the company's growth and demand for its asset management services.

1.1B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ARES Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-38.22%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.17%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Ares reported an EPS of $0.46, significantly missing the estimate of $1.32, which raised concerns about its profitability. The stock reacted positively the next day, gaining 1.36%, despite the disappointing results.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Ares' upcoming earnings, with expectations for a slight recovery in EPS and revenue. However, given the recent history of significant misses, there is a palpable tension in the market.

Bull Case

If Ares can meet or exceed the consensus EPS of $1.27, it could signal a turnaround in profitability, boosting investor confidence and potentially leading to a stock rally.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Ares fails to meet expectations again, it could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's ability to manage its assets effectively.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

1.27

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Ares is managing its investments.

Revenue

1.1B

Revenue figures will help assess the company's growth and demand for its asset management services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Ares report an EPS of at least $1.27 as expected?

This figure is critical for restoring investor confidence after recent earnings misses.

What factors contributed to the revenue forecast of $1.1 billion?

Understanding the drivers behind revenue will help investors gauge the company's growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Ares' ability to rebound, as recent operational improvements could lead to better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

Despite recent misses, Ares has a strong market position that could drive unexpected revenue growth.

Options pricing suggests a high level of uncertainty, indicating that traders may be overly cautious.

The historical trend of recovery after misses indicates potential for a positive surprise.

Key Risk

If Ares can demonstrate operational efficiency and meet or exceed the EPS target, it could significantly shift market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as Ares has struggled with earnings misses, and meeting or exceeding expectations could change the market's perception.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $1.27 or higher would confirm a positive turnaround in profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.21 would reinforce concerns about Ares' ability to manage its investments effectively.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±17.63%

Historical Avg

±4.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±17.6% while ARES has averaged ±4.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

34.8%

Calls (35K)P/C Ratio: 2.48Puts (45K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Ares beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of about 3.5%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain stable, but cautious commentary could lead to volatility.

Miss

A significant miss could lead to a decline of around 4.0%, further shaking investor confidence.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

Senate only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-ARJohn BoozmanSen.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new investment strategies or asset classes being targeted.
2Insights into the performance of specific funds or portfolios managed by Ares.
3Management's commentary on market conditions and how they are adapting.
4Details on client inflows or outflows that could impact future revenue.
5Any guidance on upcoming strategic initiatives or partnerships.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Ares is managing its investments.

1.27

Revenue

Revenue figures will help assess the company's growth and demand for its asset management services.

1.1B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ARES Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-38.22%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.17%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Ares can meet or exceed the consensus EPS of $1.27, it could signal a turnaround in profitability, boosting investor confidence and potentially leading to a stock rally.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Ares fails to meet expectations again, it could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's ability to manage its assets effectively.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

1.27

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Ares is managing its investments.

Revenue

1.1B

Revenue figures will help assess the company's growth and demand for its asset management services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Ares report an EPS of at least $1.27 as expected?

This figure is critical for restoring investor confidence after recent earnings misses.

What factors contributed to the revenue forecast of $1.1 billion?

Understanding the drivers behind revenue will help investors gauge the company's growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Ares' ability to rebound, as recent operational improvements could lead to better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

Despite recent misses, Ares has a strong market position that could drive unexpected revenue growth.

Options pricing suggests a high level of uncertainty, indicating that traders may be overly cautious.

The historical trend of recovery after misses indicates potential for a positive surprise.

Key Risk

If Ares can demonstrate operational efficiency and meet or exceed the EPS target, it could significantly shift market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as Ares has struggled with earnings misses, and meeting or exceeding expectations could change the market's perception.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $1.27 or higher would confirm a positive turnaround in profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.21 would reinforce concerns about Ares' ability to manage its investments effectively.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±17.63%

Historical Avg

±4.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±17.6% while ARES has averaged ±4.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

34.8%

Calls (35K)P/C Ratio: 2.48Puts (45K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Ares beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of about 3.5%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain stable, but cautious commentary could lead to volatility.

Miss

A significant miss could lead to a decline of around 4.0%, further shaking investor confidence.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

Senate only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-ARJohn BoozmanSen.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new investment strategies or asset classes being targeted.
2Insights into the performance of specific funds or portfolios managed by Ares.
3Management's commentary on market conditions and how they are adapting.
4Details on client inflows or outflows that could impact future revenue.
5Any guidance on upcoming strategic initiatives or partnerships.