Equity Profile

ARES

Ares Management Corporation

FinancialsAsset Management & Custody Banks$28.3B

Jul30Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Ares Management Corporation is a leading global alternative investment manager in the financial sector, focusing on asset management and custody banking. With a market cap of $29 billion, Ares plays a significant role in managing investments across various asset classes, which is crucial for investors seeking diversified financial solutions.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and financial health, and it will be closely watched this quarter due to recent performance trends.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand its business and attract new clients, especially in a competitive market.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ARES Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-38.22%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.17%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Ares reported an EPS of $0.46, significantly missing analyst expectations of $1.32, which raised concerns about its profitability. Following this disappointing result, the stock saw a modest increase of 1.36% the next day, indicating some investor optimism despite the miss.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiencies.
Commitment to enhancing client engagement strategies.
Plans to diversify investment offerings.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, Wall Street is cautious ahead of Ares' earnings report, especially after the significant EPS misses in recent quarters. Investors are looking for signs of recovery and improvement in profitability metrics.

Bull Case

If Ares can demonstrate a rebound in EPS and show strong revenue growth, it could restore investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it may further erode trust among investors, leading to a sharp decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given the recent history of EPS misses, the market will closely scrutinize this figure to gauge the company's recovery and profitability.

What is the current status of AUM and how does it reflect on future growth?

AUM is a critical metric for asset managers, and any significant changes could indicate the company's ability to attract and retain clients.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street is overly pessimistic about Ares' ability to rebound, underestimating the potential for a strong recovery in AUM and profitability metrics.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 17.63% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not align with actual performance.

The recent insider buying activity suggests confidence in the company's future prospects.

Historical patterns show that Ares often rebounds after a miss, which could lead to a positive surprise this quarter.

Key Risk

If AUM growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly shift investor sentiment and challenge the current bearish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as Ares seeks to recover from recent earnings misses and demonstrate its growth potential.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.00 or higher would confirm a positive turnaround and signal improved profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 would reinforce concerns about the company's financial health and operational challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±17.63%

Historical Avg

±4.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility surrounding the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±17.6% while ARES has averaged ±4.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

34.8%

Calls (35K)P/C Ratio: 2.48Puts (45K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich setup in Financials

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Financials in the last 2 years. 19 of 30 (63%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.7%, with a raw directional average of -0.0% (roughly flat historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Ares beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 3.46%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 4.05%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's performance.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

Senate only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-ARJohn BoozmanSen.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on AUM growth and client acquisition strategies.
2Details on cost management and operational efficiencies.
3Insights into market conditions affecting investment performance.
4Management's outlook on future earnings and financial health.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding recent performance trends.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and financial health, and it will be closely watched this quarter due to recent performance trends.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand its business and attract new clients, especially in a competitive market.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ARES Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-38.22%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.17%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiencies.
Commitment to enhancing client engagement strategies.
Plans to diversify investment offerings.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Ares can demonstrate a rebound in EPS and show strong revenue growth, it could restore investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it may further erode trust among investors, leading to a sharp decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given the recent history of EPS misses, the market will closely scrutinize this figure to gauge the company's recovery and profitability.

What is the current status of AUM and how does it reflect on future growth?

AUM is a critical metric for asset managers, and any significant changes could indicate the company's ability to attract and retain clients.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street is overly pessimistic about Ares' ability to rebound, underestimating the potential for a strong recovery in AUM and profitability metrics.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 17.63% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not align with actual performance.

The recent insider buying activity suggests confidence in the company's future prospects.

Historical patterns show that Ares often rebounds after a miss, which could lead to a positive surprise this quarter.

Key Risk

If AUM growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly shift investor sentiment and challenge the current bearish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as Ares seeks to recover from recent earnings misses and demonstrate its growth potential.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.00 or higher would confirm a positive turnaround and signal improved profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 would reinforce concerns about the company's financial health and operational challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±17.63%

Historical Avg

±4.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility surrounding the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±17.6% while ARES has averaged ±4.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

34.8%

Calls (35K)P/C Ratio: 2.48Puts (45K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich setup in Financials

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Ares beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 3.46%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 4.05%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's performance.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

Senate only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-ARJohn BoozmanSen.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on AUM growth and client acquisition strategies.
2Details on cost management and operational efficiencies.
3Insights into market conditions affecting investment performance.
4Management's outlook on future earnings and financial health.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding recent performance trends.