Equity Profile

AVAV

AeroVironment, Inc.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$7.2B

Jun29Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is a company in the aerospace and defense sector that specializes in unmanned aircraft systems and related technologies....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$1.47

Revenue

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract customers and expand its market presence, which is crucial for future growth.

$559M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AVAV Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is a company in the aerospace and defense sector that specializes in unmanned aircraft systems and related technologies. As global defense spending continues to rise, AeroVironment's innovative solutions are increasingly relevant for military and commercial applications.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-5.96%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.22%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, AeroVironment reported an EPS of $0.64, falling short of the expected $0.68, which marked a 5.88% surprise to the downside. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 2.52% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about AeroVironment's upcoming earnings, with expectations set for a rebound in both EPS and revenue. However, the company's recent performance raises concerns about its ability to meet these targets.

Bull Case

If AeroVironment can exceed the EPS estimate of $1.47 and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a recovery in demand and operational efficiency, boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses its targets again, it could indicate ongoing challenges in the market, leading to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.47

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$559M

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract customers and expand its market presence, which is crucial for future growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will AeroVironment achieve an EPS of $1.47 or higher?

This figure is critical as it will indicate whether the company is on a recovery path after several disappointing quarters.

What revenue figures will AeroVironment report, and how do they compare to the $559M consensus?

Revenue performance is essential for assessing the company's growth trajectory and market demand.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for AeroVironment to capitalize on increased defense spending, which could drive stronger-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing in a 20.81% move, indicating significant expectations for volatility.

AeroVironment's recent contracts and partnerships may not be fully reflected in analyst estimates.

The company has a history of surprising the market positively, which could happen again.

Key Risk

If AeroVironment's revenue exceeds $559M, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The upcoming earnings report is pivotal as it will determine if the company can recover from recent misses and regain investor confidence.

Bull Confirmed If

AeroVironment needs to report an EPS of $1.47 or better, along with revenue exceeding $559M to confirm a bullish outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.28 or revenue below $520M would reinforce bearish sentiment.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±20.81%

Historical Avg

±1.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move post-earnings, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility based on the upcoming results.

Options are pricing ±20.8% while AVAV has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

78.8%

Calls (1.9M)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (480K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If AeroVironment beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.68%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction, reflecting ongoing caution among investors.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 0.77%, further eroding confidence in the company's recovery.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

2 buys·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$2,002.00–$30,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
2

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships that could drive revenue growth.
2Management's commentary on cost management and operational efficiency.
3Insights into market demand for unmanned systems and how it impacts future sales.
4Details on any changes in guidance or outlook for the upcoming quarters.
5Responses to questions about recent performance and strategies to improve results.

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Company Snapshot

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is a company in the aerospace and defense sector that specializes in unmanned aircraft systems and related technologies....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$1.47

Revenue

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract customers and expand its market presence, which is crucial for future growth.

$559M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AVAV Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-5.96%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.22%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, AeroVironment reported an EPS of $0.64, falling short of the expected $0.68, which marked a 5.88% surprise to the downside. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 2.52% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If AeroVironment can exceed the EPS estimate of $1.47 and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a recovery in demand and operational efficiency, boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses its targets again, it could indicate ongoing challenges in the market, leading to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.47

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$559M

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract customers and expand its market presence, which is crucial for future growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will AeroVironment achieve an EPS of $1.47 or higher?

This figure is critical as it will indicate whether the company is on a recovery path after several disappointing quarters.

What revenue figures will AeroVironment report, and how do they compare to the $559M consensus?

Revenue performance is essential for assessing the company's growth trajectory and market demand.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for AeroVironment to capitalize on increased defense spending, which could drive stronger-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing in a 20.81% move, indicating significant expectations for volatility.

AeroVironment's recent contracts and partnerships may not be fully reflected in analyst estimates.

The company has a history of surprising the market positively, which could happen again.

Key Risk

If AeroVironment's revenue exceeds $559M, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The upcoming earnings report is pivotal as it will determine if the company can recover from recent misses and regain investor confidence.

Bull Confirmed If

AeroVironment needs to report an EPS of $1.47 or better, along with revenue exceeding $559M to confirm a bullish outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.28 or revenue below $520M would reinforce bearish sentiment.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±20.81%

Historical Avg

±1.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move post-earnings, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility based on the upcoming results.

Options are pricing ±20.8% while AVAV has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.9%

30d HV

78.8%

Calls (1.9M)P/C Ratio: 0.50Puts (480K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If AeroVironment beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.68%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction, reflecting ongoing caution among investors.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 0.77%, further eroding confidence in the company's recovery.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

2 buys·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$2,002.00–$30,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
2

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships that could drive revenue growth.
2Management's commentary on cost management and operational efficiency.
3Insights into market demand for unmanned systems and how it impacts future sales.
4Details on any changes in guidance or outlook for the upcoming quarters.
5Responses to questions about recent performance and strategies to improve results.