Equity Profile

CARR

Carrier Global Corporation

IndustrialsBuilding Products$55.8B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is a leading provider of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) solutions. As a key player in the industrial sector, it focuses on energy-efficient building products and services, which are increasingly important as sustainability becomes a priority for consumers and businesses alike.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and increase sales, which is vital for long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CARR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.81%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.29%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Carrier reported an EPS of $0.57, surpassing estimates by nearly 13%. The stock reacted positively, gaining almost 9% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue focusing on energy-efficient products.
Expand market presence in emerging markets.
Enhance customer service and support.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Carrier's upcoming earnings are mixed, with some analysts anticipating continued growth while others express concern over potential market challenges.

Bull Case

If Carrier can demonstrate strong revenue growth and maintain or improve its operating margins, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports disappointing earnings or guidance, it may raise concerns about its ability to navigate market pressures, potentially leading to a decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will heavily influence investor sentiment and stock performance.

How is Carrier addressing supply chain challenges?

Supply chain issues have impacted many companies; understanding Carrier's strategy will be crucial for assessing future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Carrier's ability to capitalize on the growing demand for energy-efficient solutions, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

Recent trends show increasing consumer preference for sustainable products, which Carrier is well-positioned to meet.

The company's historical EPS surprise rate of 75% indicates a tendency to outperform expectations.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that the market is anticipating volatility that may not align with consensus.

Key Risk

If Carrier's revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is keenly focused on profitability and operational efficiency, especially in light of recent economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.60 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and market demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.50 would raise serious concerns about profitability and market conditions.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.90%

Historical Avg

±5.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, indicating uncertainty about the results.

Options are pricing ±9.9% while CARR has averaged ±5.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

41.7%

Calls (27K)P/C Ratio: 0.71Puts (20K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Carrier beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.2%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

A cautious inline report could lead to a muted reaction as investors weigh management's commentary against market conditions.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of about 4.76%, indicating investor disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$2,002.00–$30,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-WARick LarsenRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Management's outlook on market demand for HVAC solutions.
3Details on cost management strategies and supply chain improvements.
4Any commentary on competitive pressures and market share.
5Insights into customer feedback and satisfaction levels.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and increase sales, which is vital for long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CARR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.81%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.29%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Carrier reported an EPS of $0.57, surpassing estimates by nearly 13%. The stock reacted positively, gaining almost 9% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue focusing on energy-efficient products.
Expand market presence in emerging markets.
Enhance customer service and support.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Carrier's upcoming earnings are mixed, with some analysts anticipating continued growth while others express concern over potential market challenges.

Bull Case

If Carrier can demonstrate strong revenue growth and maintain or improve its operating margins, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports disappointing earnings or guidance, it may raise concerns about its ability to navigate market pressures, potentially leading to a decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will heavily influence investor sentiment and stock performance.

How is Carrier addressing supply chain challenges?

Supply chain issues have impacted many companies; understanding Carrier's strategy will be crucial for assessing future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Carrier's ability to capitalize on the growing demand for energy-efficient solutions, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

Recent trends show increasing consumer preference for sustainable products, which Carrier is well-positioned to meet.

The company's historical EPS surprise rate of 75% indicates a tendency to outperform expectations.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that the market is anticipating volatility that may not align with consensus.

Key Risk

If Carrier's revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is keenly focused on profitability and operational efficiency, especially in light of recent economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.60 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and market demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.50 would raise serious concerns about profitability and market conditions.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.90%

Historical Avg

±5.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, indicating uncertainty about the results.

Options are pricing ±9.9% while CARR has averaged ±5.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

41.7%

Calls (27K)P/C Ratio: 0.71Puts (20K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Carrier beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.2%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

A cautious inline report could lead to a muted reaction as investors weigh management's commentary against market conditions.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of about 4.76%, indicating investor disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$2,002.00–$30,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-WARick LarsenRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Management's outlook on market demand for HVAC solutions.
3Details on cost management strategies and supply chain improvements.
4Any commentary on competitive pressures and market share.
5Insights into customer feedback and satisfaction levels.