Equity Profile

CTOS

Custom Truck One Source, Inc.

IndustrialsTrading Companies & Distributors$2.4B

Jul30Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) is a provider of specialized trucks and equipment for the transportation and construction industries....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

This metric will indicate how well the company is expanding its sales, which is critical for assessing overall performance.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help investors gauge if the company is moving towards profitability.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CTOS Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) is a provider of specialized trucks and equipment for the transportation and construction industries. Operating in the industrial sector, the company plays a crucial role in supporting infrastructure development and logistics, which are vital for economic growth.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-153.74%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.94%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Custom Truck One Source reported an EPS of -$0.02, which was better than the expected -$0.05, marking a 62.26% surprise. The stock reacted positively, gaining 0.46% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Custom Truck One Source are mixed, with uncertainty surrounding revenue growth and profitability. Investors are closely watching for any signs of improvement in financial performance.

Bull Case

The optimistic view is that the company will report stronger-than-expected revenue growth, indicating a rebound in demand for its specialized equipment, which could lead to a significant upward revision in earnings forecasts.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to show improvement in revenue or continues to report losses, it could lead to a sharp decline in investor confidence and stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the revenue growth rate be for Q2-2026?

Revenue growth is critical for assessing the company's recovery and ability to capitalize on market demand.

Will the company provide any guidance on future profitability?

Guidance on profitability will be key to understanding the company's path forward and its ability to manage costs effectively.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for revenue recovery in the construction sector, which could positively impact Custom Truck's sales.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a 50.63% move, indicating significant uncertainty that may not fully reflect the company's potential upside.

The recent surprise in Q1-2026 EPS suggests that the company may be on a path to improvement, contrary to bearish sentiment.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it will indicate whether the company can stabilize its operations and move towards profitability.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue growth of at least 10% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A revenue decline or continued losses would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±50.63%

Historical Avg

±4.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating heightened uncertainty or anticipation around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±50.6% while CTOS has averaged ±4.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

46.6%

Calls (200)P/C Ratio: 0.00Puts (200)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Custom Truck One Source beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 4.88%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors digest the information.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.35%, which could raise concerns about its financial health.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on revenue growth and demand for specialized trucks.
2Any guidance on future profitability and cost management strategies.
3Comments on market conditions affecting the construction and logistics sectors.
4Insights into customer demand trends and order backlog.
5Management's outlook on capital expenditures and investment plans.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) is a provider of specialized trucks and equipment for the transportation and construction industries....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

This metric will indicate how well the company is expanding its sales, which is critical for assessing overall performance.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help investors gauge if the company is moving towards profitability.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CTOS Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-153.74%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.94%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Custom Truck One Source reported an EPS of -$0.02, which was better than the expected -$0.05, marking a 62.26% surprise. The stock reacted positively, gaining 0.46% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to show improvement in revenue or continues to report losses, it could lead to a sharp decline in investor confidence and stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the revenue growth rate be for Q2-2026?

Revenue growth is critical for assessing the company's recovery and ability to capitalize on market demand.

Will the company provide any guidance on future profitability?

Guidance on profitability will be key to understanding the company's path forward and its ability to manage costs effectively.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for revenue recovery in the construction sector, which could positively impact Custom Truck's sales.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a 50.63% move, indicating significant uncertainty that may not fully reflect the company's potential upside.

The recent surprise in Q1-2026 EPS suggests that the company may be on a path to improvement, contrary to bearish sentiment.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it will indicate whether the company can stabilize its operations and move towards profitability.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue growth of at least 10% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A revenue decline or continued losses would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±50.63%

Historical Avg

±4.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating heightened uncertainty or anticipation around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±50.6% while CTOS has averaged ±4.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

46.6%

Calls (200)P/C Ratio: 0.00Puts (200)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Custom Truck One Source beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 4.88%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors digest the information.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.35%, which could raise concerns about its financial health.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on revenue growth and demand for specialized trucks.
2Any guidance on future profitability and cost management strategies.
3Comments on market conditions affecting the construction and logistics sectors.
4Insights into customer demand trends and order backlog.
5Management's outlook on capital expenditures and investment plans.