Equity Profile

CTRE

CareTrust REIT, Inc.

Real EstateHealth Care REITs$9.2B

Aug10Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust focused on acquiring, owning, and managing healthcare properties....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.43

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to attract tenants and maintain occupancy rates, which is vital for its growth.

$158M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CTRE Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust focused on acquiring, owning, and managing healthcare properties. With a market cap of $9 billion, it plays a crucial role in the healthcare sector by providing essential facilities for senior living and skilled nursing.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-1.13%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.58%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, CareTrust reported an EPS of $0.48, matching analysts' expectations and resulting in a slight stock increase. The company continues to demonstrate stability in its earnings despite market fluctuations.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect CareTrust to report steady earnings and revenue, reflecting a stable demand for healthcare properties. The consensus EPS is $0.43, indicating cautious optimism.

Bull Case

If CareTrust exceeds expectations, it could signal strong demand for its properties and effective management, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses its earnings targets, it may raise concerns about occupancy rates and revenue growth, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.43

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

$158M

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to attract tenants and maintain occupancy rates, which is vital for its growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will CareTrust's occupancy rates remain stable or improve, particularly in light of recent trends in senior housing demand?

Occupancy rates directly impact revenue and profitability, making this a critical factor for investor confidence.

How does management plan to address potential cost pressures in the current economic environment?

Understanding management's strategy for cost control will be essential for evaluating future profitability and growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate the impact of rising demand for healthcare properties, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a 5.1% move, indicating higher volatility than historical averages.

Recent trends in senior housing demand suggest a potential uptick in occupancy rates, which could drive revenue higher.

Key Risk

If occupancy rates exceed 90%, it could significantly alter the earnings outlook and investor sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on the balance between revenue growth and cost management in a challenging economic environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.45 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.39 would raise concerns about the company's ability to manage costs and maintain occupancy.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.1%

Historical Avg

±1.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.1% while CTRE has averaged ±1.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

29.1%

Calls (900)P/C Ratio: 0.83Puts (100)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If CareTrust beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.51% on the following day, confirming strong demand and management effectiveness.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 0.62%, indicating potential issues with occupancy or cost management.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on occupancy rates and tenant demand in the healthcare sector.
2Management's commentary on cost management strategies amid economic pressures.
3Insights into future acquisition plans or property developments.
4Details on how CareTrust is navigating regulatory changes in the healthcare industry.

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Company Snapshot

CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust focused on acquiring, owning, and managing healthcare properties....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.43

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to attract tenants and maintain occupancy rates, which is vital for its growth.

$158M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

CTRE Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-1.13%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.58%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect CareTrust to report steady earnings and revenue, reflecting a stable demand for healthcare properties. The consensus EPS is $0.43, indicating cautious optimism.

Bull Case

If CareTrust exceeds expectations, it could signal strong demand for its properties and effective management, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses its earnings targets, it may raise concerns about occupancy rates and revenue growth, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.43

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

$158M

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to attract tenants and maintain occupancy rates, which is vital for its growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will CareTrust's occupancy rates remain stable or improve, particularly in light of recent trends in senior housing demand?

Occupancy rates directly impact revenue and profitability, making this a critical factor for investor confidence.

How does management plan to address potential cost pressures in the current economic environment?

Understanding management's strategy for cost control will be essential for evaluating future profitability and growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate the impact of rising demand for healthcare properties, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a 5.1% move, indicating higher volatility than historical averages.

Recent trends in senior housing demand suggest a potential uptick in occupancy rates, which could drive revenue higher.

Key Risk

If occupancy rates exceed 90%, it could significantly alter the earnings outlook and investor sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on the balance between revenue growth and cost management in a challenging economic environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.45 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.39 would raise concerns about the company's ability to manage costs and maintain occupancy.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.1%

Historical Avg

±1.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.1% while CTRE has averaged ±1.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

29.1%

Calls (900)P/C Ratio: 0.83Puts (100)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If CareTrust beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.51% on the following day, confirming strong demand and management effectiveness.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 0.62%, indicating potential issues with occupancy or cost management.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on occupancy rates and tenant demand in the healthcare sector.
2Management's commentary on cost management strategies amid economic pressures.
3Insights into future acquisition plans or property developments.
4Details on how CareTrust is navigating regulatory changes in the healthcare industry.