Equity Profile

EMBJ

Embraer S.A.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$13.2B

Aug10Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace company that designs and manufactures commercial, military, executive, and agricultural aircraft....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and performance this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales and expand its market presence.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

EMBJ Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace company that designs and manufactures commercial, military, executive, and agricultural aircraft. As a key player in the aerospace and defense sector, Embraer is significant for its innovation in aviation technology and its role in global air travel and defense solutions.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 2Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+63.91%

Avg Stock Reaction

-9.23%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Embraer reported an EPS of $0.19, falling short of expectations by 36.66%. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 11.28% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautious ahead of the earnings report, especially after the significant EPS miss last quarter. There is uncertainty regarding revenue performance and future guidance.

Bull Case

If Embraer can demonstrate strong order growth and improved profitability, it could regain investor confidence and drive the stock price higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports another earnings miss or weak guidance, it could lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the current order backlog and how does it compare to previous quarters?

The order backlog is critical for assessing future revenue potential and market demand, which investors will closely monitor.

What are the management's expectations for EPS and revenue growth for the remainder of the year?

Management's guidance on EPS and revenue will be crucial for setting investor expectations and could significantly impact stock performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in order growth, as recent trends in aviation demand suggest a recovery that could positively impact Embraer's performance.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 17.3% move, indicating heightened expectations for volatility that may not align with actual performance.

The company's historical performance shows a mixed reaction pattern, suggesting that a recovery could be more feasible than currently anticipated.

Key Risk

If the order backlog shows significant growth, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a significant earnings miss, and investor sentiment is highly sensitive to any signs of recovery or further decline.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate of over 15% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.15 would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±17.3%

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 17.3%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

51.9%

Calls (77K)P/C Ratio: 0.43Puts (3K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Embraer beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 9.23%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction, reflecting ongoing investor caution.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 11.28%, reinforcing negative sentiment and concerns about the company's outlook.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on the current order backlog and any new contracts signed.
2Management's outlook on revenue growth for the rest of the year.
3Any commentary on cost management and profitability improvements.
4Insights into market demand trends for commercial and military aircraft.
5Details on any new product developments or technological advancements.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Embraer S.A. is a Brazilian aerospace company that designs and manufactures commercial, military, executive, and agricultural aircraft....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and performance this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales and expand its market presence.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

EMBJ Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 2Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+63.91%

Avg Stock Reaction

-9.23%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Embraer reported an EPS of $0.19, falling short of expectations by 36.66%. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 11.28% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautious ahead of the earnings report, especially after the significant EPS miss last quarter. There is uncertainty regarding revenue performance and future guidance.

Bull Case

If Embraer can demonstrate strong order growth and improved profitability, it could regain investor confidence and drive the stock price higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports another earnings miss or weak guidance, it could lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the current order backlog and how does it compare to previous quarters?

The order backlog is critical for assessing future revenue potential and market demand, which investors will closely monitor.

What are the management's expectations for EPS and revenue growth for the remainder of the year?

Management's guidance on EPS and revenue will be crucial for setting investor expectations and could significantly impact stock performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in order growth, as recent trends in aviation demand suggest a recovery that could positively impact Embraer's performance.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 17.3% move, indicating heightened expectations for volatility that may not align with actual performance.

The company's historical performance shows a mixed reaction pattern, suggesting that a recovery could be more feasible than currently anticipated.

Key Risk

If the order backlog shows significant growth, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a significant earnings miss, and investor sentiment is highly sensitive to any signs of recovery or further decline.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate of over 15% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.15 would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±17.3%

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 17.3%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

51.9%

Calls (77K)P/C Ratio: 0.43Puts (3K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Embraer beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 9.23%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction, reflecting ongoing investor caution.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 11.28%, reinforcing negative sentiment and concerns about the company's outlook.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on the current order backlog and any new contracts signed.
2Management's outlook on revenue growth for the rest of the year.
3Any commentary on cost management and profitability improvements.
4Insights into market demand trends for commercial and military aircraft.
5Details on any new product developments or technological advancements.