Equity Profile

HII

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$11.2B

Jul30Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) is a leading provider of military shipbuilding and defense services in the aerospace and defense sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

$3.70

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to secure contracts and expand its business, vital for future performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

HII Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) is a leading provider of military shipbuilding and defense services in the aerospace and defense sector. With a market cap of $11 billion, the company plays a crucial role in national security and defense, focusing on shipbuilding, maintenance, and modernization of naval vessels.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+7.54%

Avg Stock Reaction

-7.05%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, HII reported an EPS of $3.79, beating estimates by 2.52%. However, the stock fell 10.25% the following day, indicating market concerns despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations are mixed as HII has shown strong earnings surprises in the past, but recent stock reactions have been negative despite positive results.

Bull Case

If HII continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could regain investor confidence and see a rebound in stock price.

Bear Case

Concerns about defense spending cuts or contract delays could lead to disappointing results and further stock declines.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$3.70

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to secure contracts and expand its business, vital for future performance.

Defense Contract Awards

N/A

The number of new defense contracts awarded can signal future revenue potential and operational stability.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected EPS for Q2-2026?

The EPS figure will be crucial in determining if HII can maintain its trend of beating estimates and restore investor confidence.

How many new defense contracts has HII secured in the last quarter?

New contracts are essential for future revenue growth, and any shortfall could raise concerns about the company's outlook.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating HII's ability to secure new contracts, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

HII has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, suggesting operational strength.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility, which could be positive.

Recent increases in defense budgets could benefit HII more than anticipated.

Key Risk

If new contract awards exceed expectations, it could significantly alter the market's perception of HII's growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is weighing HII's ability to sustain earnings growth against potential challenges in the defense sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $3.80 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $3.60 would confirm the bear case, indicating potential issues with profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±10.72%

Historical Avg

±10.7%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±10.7% while HII has averaged ±10.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

41.5%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 1.59Puts (6K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If HII beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of +6.92%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting ongoing investor uncertainty.

Miss

A miss could lead to a significant decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average one-day drop of -22.24%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new defense contracts awarded in the last quarter.
2Management's commentary on future revenue guidance.
3Details on cost management and operational efficiency improvements.
4Insights into the impact of government defense budgets on HII's business.
5Any changes in management's outlook for the defense sector.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) is a leading provider of military shipbuilding and defense services in the aerospace and defense sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

$3.70

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to secure contracts and expand its business, vital for future performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

HII Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+7.54%

Avg Stock Reaction

-7.05%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, HII reported an EPS of $3.79, beating estimates by 2.52%. However, the stock fell 10.25% the following day, indicating market concerns despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations are mixed as HII has shown strong earnings surprises in the past, but recent stock reactions have been negative despite positive results.

Bull Case

If HII continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could regain investor confidence and see a rebound in stock price.

Bear Case

Concerns about defense spending cuts or contract delays could lead to disappointing results and further stock declines.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$3.70

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to secure contracts and expand its business, vital for future performance.

Defense Contract Awards

N/A

The number of new defense contracts awarded can signal future revenue potential and operational stability.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected EPS for Q2-2026?

The EPS figure will be crucial in determining if HII can maintain its trend of beating estimates and restore investor confidence.

How many new defense contracts has HII secured in the last quarter?

New contracts are essential for future revenue growth, and any shortfall could raise concerns about the company's outlook.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating HII's ability to secure new contracts, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

HII has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, suggesting operational strength.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility, which could be positive.

Recent increases in defense budgets could benefit HII more than anticipated.

Key Risk

If new contract awards exceed expectations, it could significantly alter the market's perception of HII's growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is weighing HII's ability to sustain earnings growth against potential challenges in the defense sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $3.80 or higher would confirm the bull case and suggest strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $3.60 would confirm the bear case, indicating potential issues with profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±10.72%

Historical Avg

±10.7%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±10.7% while HII has averaged ±10.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

41.5%

Calls (5K)P/C Ratio: 1.59Puts (6K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If HII beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of +6.92%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting ongoing investor uncertainty.

Miss

A miss could lead to a significant decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average one-day drop of -22.24%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new defense contracts awarded in the last quarter.
2Management's commentary on future revenue guidance.
3Details on cost management and operational efficiency improvements.
4Insights into the impact of government defense budgets on HII's business.
5Any changes in management's outlook for the defense sector.