Equity Profile
Post-Earnings Recap
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.21 | $1.09 | +8.04% |
| Revenue | N/A | $417M | N/A |
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IDACORP, Inc. (ticker: IDA) is a utility company that provides electricity to customers in Idaho and parts of Oregon and Nevada....
EPS
Earnings per share is a critical indicator of profitability and helps gauge how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.
Revenue
Revenue figures provide insight into the overall sales performance and customer demand for electricity, which is crucial for assessing growth.
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| EPS | $1.21 | $1.09 | +8.04% |
| Revenue | N/A | $417M | N/A |
Tone: Unknown
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
IDACORP's earnings report shows a positive surprise in EPS, which likely contributed to the stock's increase of 2.42%. The company did not provide revenue figures or guidance, leaving some uncertainty about future performance. Investors may view the EPS beat as a sign of operational strength, but the lack of revenue data could raise questions.
EPS Beat Streak
6Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+7.56%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.66%
In Q4-2025, IDACORP reported an EPS of $0.78, beating estimates slightly. However, the stock experienced a decline of 2.43% the following day, indicating mixed market sentiment despite the earnings beat.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect IDACORP to report a solid quarter, with a consensus EPS of $1.09 and revenue of $417 million. The market is closely watching for any signs of growth in customer demand and cost management.
Bull Case
If IDACORP exceeds EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for electricity and effective operational management, potentially boosting investor confidence.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company misses EPS or revenue expectations, it may raise concerns about demand and operational efficiency, leading to a negative market reaction.
EPS
$1.09Earnings per share is a critical indicator of profitability and helps gauge how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.
Revenue
$417MRevenue figures provide insight into the overall sales performance and customer demand for electricity, which is crucial for assessing growth.
Expectations
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will IDACORP's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.09?
A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and cost management, which is crucial for investor confidence.
Q2
What is the revenue outlook given the consensus of $417 million?
Revenue growth is essential for assessing demand for electricity, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact the stock's performance.
Edge
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the potential for IDACORP to exceed revenue expectations due to increased demand for electricity as more people work from home.
Supporting Evidence
The company's historical performance shows a 75% beat rate on EPS, suggesting a strong likelihood of exceeding expectations.
Options pricing indicates a higher expected move than historical averages, which may reflect underlying bullish sentiment.
Recent trends in energy consumption suggest a potential uptick in demand that may not be fully reflected in analyst estimates.
Key Risk
If revenue comes in below $400 million, it could challenge the narrative of strong demand and operational efficiency.
Edge
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter, the focus is on whether IDACORP can maintain its profitability amidst rising operational costs and fluctuating demand.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $1.15 or higher, coupled with revenue exceeding $450 million, would confirm a strong operational performance.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $1.02 or revenue falling short of $350 million would signal potential issues in demand or cost management.
Pre-Earnings Positioning
Implied Move
±3.21%
Historical Avg
±2.1%
The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 3.21%, indicating that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±3.2% while IDA has averaged ±2.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.2%
30d HV
19.4%
Edge
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Utilities
n=30Fade rate: 11 of 26 (42%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Utilities in the last 2 years. 11 of 26 faded and 15 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.2%, with a raw directional average of +0.1% (modestly positive historical bias).
Preparation
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If IDACORP beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.27%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 0.32%, indicating concerns over demand or cost management.
Preparation
House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
1
1 buy·0 sells
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
Net buying
Recent Transactions
Traded Mar 3, 2026 · disclosed Apr 7, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.
Preparation
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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