Consumer Discretionary·Education Services·$2.5B
McGraw Hill Inc. operates in the consumer discretionary sector, focusing on education services....
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth is essential to assess the company's ability to expand its market share and adapt to changing educational demands.
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EPS Beat Streak
2Q
EPS Beat Rate
67%
Avg EPS Surprise
+264.49%
Avg Stock Reaction
+4.35%
In Q3 2026, McGraw Hill reported an EPS of $0.28, significantly surpassing estimates by 495.74%. However, the stock declined by 5.08% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.
Management Promises & Guidance
Investors are cautiously optimistic about McGraw Hill's upcoming earnings, given its strong EPS performance in previous quarters. However, the lack of revenue guidance raises uncertainty.
Bull Case
If McGraw Hill continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and market demand, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it may lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent volatility.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
N/AEPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth is essential to assess the company's ability to expand its market share and adapt to changing educational demands.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What will the EPS be for Q4-2026?
Given McGraw Hill's history of exceeding EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial for investor confidence and stock performance.
Q2
What is the revenue outlook for the next quarter?
Revenue guidance will provide insight into the company's growth trajectory and its ability to navigate the competitive education market.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate McGraw Hill's ability to leverage digital learning trends, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.
Supporting Evidence
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational management.
Options pricing suggests a significant move, reflecting market anticipation that may not align with conservative revenue expectations.
Key Risk
If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current cautious outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will hinge on both profitability and revenue growth, which are critical for sustaining investor interest.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.30 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.20 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential operational challenges.
Implied Move
±18.22%
Historical Avg
±11.6%
The options market is pricing in a larger-than-average move for McGraw Hill's stock, suggesting that traders expect significant volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±18.2% while MH has averaged ±11.6% over the last 3 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If McGraw Hill beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 9.42%, confirming operational strength.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns indicating a potential drop of around 5.80%.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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GAMESTOP CORP NEW A
Jun 9, 2026