Equity Profile

MOD

Modine Manufacturing Company

IndustrialsBuilding Products$10.8B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2027After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Modine Manufacturing Company is a leading provider of engineered heat transfer systems and solutions, primarily serving the industrial and commercial sectors. With a market cap of $11 billion, the company plays a crucial role in building products, focusing on energy efficiency and sustainability, which are increasingly important in today's market.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Modine is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market share and meet customer demand, which is vital for future investments.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MOD Q1-2027 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.70%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.76%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Modine reported an EPS of $1.71, exceeding expectations by 13.47%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 13.57% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are optimistic about Modine's upcoming earnings, given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If Modine continues its trend of exceeding EPS expectations, it could signal strong operational efficiency and market demand, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of slowing revenue growth, it could lead to a significant sell-off.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q1-2027?

Given Modine's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be critical for investor confidence and stock performance.

What are the revenue growth expectations for the upcoming quarter?

Revenue growth will indicate the company's ability to capture market demand and sustain its competitive edge.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Modine's ability to leverage its recent operational efficiencies to drive higher margins, especially in a recovering economy.

Supporting Evidence

Modine has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting strong management execution.

The options market is pricing a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility, which could be driven by positive surprises.

Historical trends show that Modine's stock typically reacts positively to earnings beats.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $1.50, it could challenge the current positive sentiment surrounding the stock.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Modine's ability to maintain its growth trajectory amidst economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.80 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and growth potential.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.50 would raise concerns about profitability and market demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±6.65%

Historical Avg

±2.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 6.65%, indicating that traders expect some volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±6.7% while MOD has averaged ±2.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

73.9%

Calls (113K)P/C Ratio: 0.60Puts (106K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 25 (24%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 19 of 25 (76%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of +1.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Modine beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.8%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see limited movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of approximately 1.49%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
2Insights into market demand and customer orders for the upcoming quarter.
3Details on new product launches or innovations that could drive future growth.
4Management's outlook on economic conditions and their potential impact on the business.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures and how Modine plans to address them.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Modine is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market share and meet customer demand, which is vital for future investments.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MOD Q1-2027 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.70%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.76%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Modine reported an EPS of $1.71, exceeding expectations by 13.47%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 13.57% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are optimistic about Modine's upcoming earnings, given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If Modine continues its trend of exceeding EPS expectations, it could signal strong operational efficiency and market demand, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of slowing revenue growth, it could lead to a significant sell-off.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q1-2027?

Given Modine's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be critical for investor confidence and stock performance.

What are the revenue growth expectations for the upcoming quarter?

Revenue growth will indicate the company's ability to capture market demand and sustain its competitive edge.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Modine's ability to leverage its recent operational efficiencies to drive higher margins, especially in a recovering economy.

Supporting Evidence

Modine has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting strong management execution.

The options market is pricing a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility, which could be driven by positive surprises.

Historical trends show that Modine's stock typically reacts positively to earnings beats.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $1.50, it could challenge the current positive sentiment surrounding the stock.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Modine's ability to maintain its growth trajectory amidst economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.80 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and growth potential.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.50 would raise concerns about profitability and market demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±6.65%

Historical Avg

±2.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 6.65%, indicating that traders expect some volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±6.7% while MOD has averaged ±2.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

73.9%

Calls (113K)P/C Ratio: 0.60Puts (106K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 25 (24%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Modine beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.8%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see limited movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of approximately 1.49%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
2Insights into market demand and customer orders for the upcoming quarter.
3Details on new product launches or innovations that could drive future growth.
4Management's outlook on economic conditions and their potential impact on the business.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures and how Modine plans to address them.