Equity Profile

MTDR

Matador Resources Company

EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production$6.7B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) operates in the energy sector, specifically in oil and gas exploration and production. With a market cap of $7 billion, the company plays a significant role in the energy market, which is influenced by global oil prices and demand trends.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Not available

Revenue

Revenue growth is crucial for understanding the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.

Not available

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MTDR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.71%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.16%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Matador reported an EPS of $1.53, exceeding expectations by 23.09%. However, the stock price fell by 8.22% the following day, indicating market skepticism despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as Matador has consistently beaten EPS estimates, but the stock reaction has often been negative. Investors will be watching closely to see if this trend continues.

Bull Case

If Matador can deliver strong earnings again, it may indicate robust operational efficiency and market demand, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if earnings do not meet expectations or if management provides cautious guidance, it could reinforce the negative sentiment seen in previous quarters.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial in determining market sentiment post-earnings.

How does management view future oil prices and production levels?

Management's outlook on oil prices and production will heavily influence investor confidence and expectations for future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The market may be underestimating Matador's ability to capitalize on recent oil price increases, which could lead to stronger-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

Despite a history of negative stock reactions post-earnings, Matador has consistently beaten EPS estimates.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant reaction.

The company's operational efficiency may offset any challenges posed by fluctuating oil prices.

Key Risk

If EPS exceeds $1.70, it could significantly shift market sentiment towards a more bullish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Matador can maintain its earnings momentum amidst fluctuating oil prices and production challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.70 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.30 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±8.18%

Historical Avg

±2.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±18.8% while MTDR has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

49.6%

Calls (48K)P/C Ratio: 1.85Puts (27K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 20 (30%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Energy in the last 2 years. 14 of 20 (70%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.2%, with a raw directional average of -1.2% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Matador beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.2% on the day, confirming the company's strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may remain volatile, reflecting uncertainty.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 1.16%, reinforcing the negative sentiment seen in past quarters.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$15,001.00–$50,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on production levels and operational efficiency.
2Management's outlook on future oil prices and market demand.
3Details on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
4Insights into any new projects or developments that could drive growth.
5Responses to questions about market conditions and competitive landscape.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Jul27

DYNBMO

Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.

Insider activity

PreviewView

Jul

Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Not available

Revenue

Revenue growth is crucial for understanding the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.

Not available

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MTDR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.71%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.16%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Matador reported an EPS of $1.53, exceeding expectations by 23.09%. However, the stock price fell by 8.22% the following day, indicating market skepticism despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as Matador has consistently beaten EPS estimates, but the stock reaction has often been negative. Investors will be watching closely to see if this trend continues.

Bull Case

If Matador can deliver strong earnings again, it may indicate robust operational efficiency and market demand, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if earnings do not meet expectations or if management provides cautious guidance, it could reinforce the negative sentiment seen in previous quarters.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial in determining market sentiment post-earnings.

How does management view future oil prices and production levels?

Management's outlook on oil prices and production will heavily influence investor confidence and expectations for future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The market may be underestimating Matador's ability to capitalize on recent oil price increases, which could lead to stronger-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

Despite a history of negative stock reactions post-earnings, Matador has consistently beaten EPS estimates.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant reaction.

The company's operational efficiency may offset any challenges posed by fluctuating oil prices.

Key Risk

If EPS exceeds $1.70, it could significantly shift market sentiment towards a more bullish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Matador can maintain its earnings momentum amidst fluctuating oil prices and production challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.70 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.30 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±8.18%

Historical Avg

±2.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±18.8% while MTDR has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

49.6%

Calls (48K)P/C Ratio: 1.85Puts (27K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 20 (30%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Matador beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.2% on the day, confirming the company's strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may remain volatile, reflecting uncertainty.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 1.16%, reinforcing the negative sentiment seen in past quarters.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$15,001.00–$50,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on production levels and operational efficiency.
2Management's outlook on future oil prices and market demand.
3Details on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
4Insights into any new projects or developments that could drive growth.
5Responses to questions about market conditions and competitive landscape.