Equity Profile

NXPI

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

Information TechnologySemiconductors$74.7B

Jul27Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is a leading semiconductor company that designs and manufactures chips used in various applications, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial measure of profitability and will indicate how well NXP is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and is essential for assessing overall business health.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

NXPI Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is a leading semiconductor company that designs and manufactures chips used in various applications, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. As a key player in the technology sector, NXP is positioned to benefit from trends like the growth of electric vehicles and the increasing demand for smart devices.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+16.66%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.73%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, NXP reported an EPS of $3.05, exceeding expectations by 16.81%. However, the stock fell by 2.74% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions despite the positive earnings surprise.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding automotive product lines.
Commitment to improving operational efficiencies.
Plans to enhance partnerships in the industrial sector.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for NXP's upcoming earnings are cautious, given the lack of analyst estimates and mixed reactions to previous earnings reports.

Bull Case

If NXP continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, particularly in the automotive sector.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant sell-off, especially given the high implied volatility in the options market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the revenue growth rate in the automotive segment for Q2-2026?

This metric will be crucial in assessing NXP's performance in a key market and could influence investor sentiment significantly.

Will management provide guidance on future EPS and revenue expectations?

Guidance is essential for setting market expectations and can lead to increased volatility if it differs from current analyst projections.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating NXP's growth potential in the automotive sector, particularly as electric vehicle adoption accelerates.

Supporting Evidence

NXP has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect more volatility than historical averages.

Recent trends in the automotive sector indicate increasing demand for semiconductor solutions.

Key Risk

If automotive revenue growth exceeds 15%, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around NXP's ability to sustain growth in its automotive segment amidst increasing competition.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate exceeding 15% in the automotive segment would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in automotive revenue or a failure to meet EPS expectations would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±15.41%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that investors anticipate volatility surrounding the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±15.4% while NXPI has averaged ±2.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

78.8%

Calls (74K)P/C Ratio: 0.94Puts (42K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Semiconductors

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 4 of 9 faded and 5 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -0.5% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If NXP beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.73%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

If NXP misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 2.05%, reflecting disappointment in the market.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-TXJulie JohnsonRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on automotive segment performance and growth drivers.
2Management's outlook on supply chain challenges and their impact on production.
3Details on new product launches and their expected market impact.
4Insights into customer demand trends in key markets.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures and how NXP plans to address them.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is a leading semiconductor company that designs and manufactures chips used in various applications, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial measure of profitability and will indicate how well NXP is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and is essential for assessing overall business health.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

NXPI Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+16.66%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.73%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on expanding automotive product lines.
Commitment to improving operational efficiencies.
Plans to enhance partnerships in the industrial sector.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for NXP's upcoming earnings are cautious, given the lack of analyst estimates and mixed reactions to previous earnings reports.

Bull Case

If NXP continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, particularly in the automotive sector.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant sell-off, especially given the high implied volatility in the options market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the revenue growth rate in the automotive segment for Q2-2026?

This metric will be crucial in assessing NXP's performance in a key market and could influence investor sentiment significantly.

Will management provide guidance on future EPS and revenue expectations?

Guidance is essential for setting market expectations and can lead to increased volatility if it differs from current analyst projections.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating NXP's growth potential in the automotive sector, particularly as electric vehicle adoption accelerates.

Supporting Evidence

NXP has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect more volatility than historical averages.

Recent trends in the automotive sector indicate increasing demand for semiconductor solutions.

Key Risk

If automotive revenue growth exceeds 15%, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around NXP's ability to sustain growth in its automotive segment amidst increasing competition.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate exceeding 15% in the automotive segment would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in automotive revenue or a failure to meet EPS expectations would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±15.41%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that investors anticipate volatility surrounding the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±15.4% while NXPI has averaged ±2.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

78.8%

Calls (74K)P/C Ratio: 0.94Puts (42K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Semiconductors

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If NXP beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.73%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

If NXP misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 2.05%, reflecting disappointment in the market.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-TXJulie JohnsonRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on automotive segment performance and growth drivers.
2Management's outlook on supply chain challenges and their impact on production.
3Details on new product launches and their expected market impact.
4Insights into customer demand trends in key markets.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures and how NXP plans to address them.