Equity Profile

OWL

Blue Owl Capital Inc.

FinancialsAsset Management & Custody Banks$6.6B

Jul30Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an asset management firm focused on providing investment solutions in the financial sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance, which investors will closely monitor this quarter.

N/A

Assets Under Management (AUM)

AUM reflects the total market value of assets that Blue Owl manages, providing insight into its growth and market position.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

OWL Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an asset management firm focused on providing investment solutions in the financial sector. With a market cap of $7 billion, it plays a significant role in managing assets and custody services, which are crucial for investors looking for reliable financial management.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-23.04%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.00%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Blue Owl reported an EPS of $0.02, significantly missing expectations of $0.19. Despite this, the stock rose 9.80% the following day, indicating some investor optimism.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations for Blue Owl's upcoming earnings are cautious, given the recent EPS miss. Investors are keen to see if the company can rebound and meet or exceed expectations this quarter.

Bull Case

If Blue Owl can show strong revenue growth and improved EPS, it could signal a turnaround, boosting investor confidence and stock performance.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations, it may lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and a significant improvement or further decline will heavily influence market sentiment.

How much has AUM changed this quarter?

Changes in AUM can indicate the company's growth trajectory and investor confidence, making it a key focus for analysts.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Blue Owl's potential for recovery, as recent management strategies could lead to improved AUM and profitability.

Supporting Evidence

The stock has historically reacted positively to any signs of growth, even after misses.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating that investors are expecting significant news.

Previous quarters show that the company has rebounded after disappointing earnings, suggesting resilience.

Key Risk

If AUM growth exceeds expectations, it could shift the narrative significantly.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is watching closely for signs of recovery after recent earnings misses, particularly in profitability and asset management growth.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS of $0.10 or better would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.02 would solidify the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.61%

Historical Avg

±4.4%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 9.61%, indicating heightened uncertainty around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±9.6% while OWL has averaged ±4.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

49.3%

Calls (590K)P/C Ratio: 0.80Puts (326K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Financials

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Financials in the last 2 years. 19 of 30 (63%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.7%, with a raw directional average of +0.1% (roughly flat historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Blue Owl beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see a modest increase, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain stable but could reflect cautious sentiment in management's commentary.

Miss

If the company misses again, history indicates a potential decline in stock price, as seen in past earnings reactions.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on AUM growth and investor inflows.
2Management's outlook on profitability and cost management strategies.
3Details on new investment strategies or products being launched.
4Insights into market conditions affecting asset management.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning within the financial sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Jul27

DYNBMO

Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.

Insider activity

PreviewView

Jul

Company Snapshot

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an asset management firm focused on providing investment solutions in the financial sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance, which investors will closely monitor this quarter.

N/A

Assets Under Management (AUM)

AUM reflects the total market value of assets that Blue Owl manages, providing insight into its growth and market position.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

OWL Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-23.04%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.00%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Blue Owl reported an EPS of $0.02, significantly missing expectations of $0.19. Despite this, the stock rose 9.80% the following day, indicating some investor optimism.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations for Blue Owl's upcoming earnings are cautious, given the recent EPS miss. Investors are keen to see if the company can rebound and meet or exceed expectations this quarter.

Bull Case

If Blue Owl can show strong revenue growth and improved EPS, it could signal a turnaround, boosting investor confidence and stock performance.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations, it may lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and a significant improvement or further decline will heavily influence market sentiment.

How much has AUM changed this quarter?

Changes in AUM can indicate the company's growth trajectory and investor confidence, making it a key focus for analysts.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Blue Owl's potential for recovery, as recent management strategies could lead to improved AUM and profitability.

Supporting Evidence

The stock has historically reacted positively to any signs of growth, even after misses.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating that investors are expecting significant news.

Previous quarters show that the company has rebounded after disappointing earnings, suggesting resilience.

Key Risk

If AUM growth exceeds expectations, it could shift the narrative significantly.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is watching closely for signs of recovery after recent earnings misses, particularly in profitability and asset management growth.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS of $0.10 or better would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.02 would solidify the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.61%

Historical Avg

±4.4%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 9.61%, indicating heightened uncertainty around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±9.6% while OWL has averaged ±4.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

49.3%

Calls (590K)P/C Ratio: 0.80Puts (326K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Financials

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Blue Owl beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see a modest increase, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain stable but could reflect cautious sentiment in management's commentary.

Miss

If the company misses again, history indicates a potential decline in stock price, as seen in past earnings reactions.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on AUM growth and investor inflows.
2Management's outlook on profitability and cost management strategies.
3Details on new investment strategies or products being launched.
4Insights into market conditions affecting asset management.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning within the financial sector.