Equity Profile

PHG

Koninklijke Philips N.V.

Health CareHealth Care Equipment$26.8B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2025Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Koninklijke Philips N.V. (PHG) is a leading health care technology company focused on improving people's health and well-being through meaningful innovation....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability, and this quarter's consensus estimate is $0.19.

$0.19

Revenue

Total revenue is essential for understanding the company's overall performance, with an expected consensus of $3.9 billion.

$3.9B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

PHG Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Koninklijke Philips N.V. (PHG) is a leading health care technology company focused on improving people's health and well-being through meaningful innovation. With a market cap of $27 billion, Philips operates in the Health Care Equipment sector, addressing major themes like digital health and patient care solutions.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+11.00%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.62%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2025, Philips reported an EPS of $0.22, falling short of the expected $0.36, leading to a stock increase of 2.98% the following day. The company has faced challenges in meeting revenue expectations in recent quarters.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiency.
Commitment to innovation in health technology.
Plans to enhance customer engagement and satisfaction.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Philips to report modest earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $0.19 and revenue of $3.9 billion. Given the recent earnings misses, there is cautious sentiment in the market.

Bull Case

If Philips can exceed EPS expectations and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround in performance and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses estimates again, it may raise concerns about its operational challenges and impact the stock negatively.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.19

Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability, and this quarter's consensus estimate is $0.19.

Revenue

$3.9B

Total revenue is essential for understanding the company's overall performance, with an expected consensus of $3.9 billion.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Philips achieve an EPS of at least $0.19?

This specific EPS target is crucial for restoring investor confidence after recent misses.

What is the outlook for revenue growth in key segments?

Understanding revenue growth in critical areas will help gauge the company's recovery trajectory.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Philips' potential for a turnaround, as recent operational improvements could lead to better-than-expected results this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Philips has a history of beating EPS estimates 67% of the time, suggesting potential upside.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, indicating expectations for volatility.

Recent insider activity has been stable, suggesting confidence in management's strategy.

Key Risk

If revenue growth in key segments exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Philips can overcome recent operational challenges and return to a growth trajectory.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.19 or better, along with revenue exceeding $3.9 billion, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.19, coupled with stagnant revenue growth, would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±15.16%

Historical Avg

±10.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of over 15%, indicating heightened uncertainty around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±15.2% while PHG has averaged ±10.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

34.4%

Calls (118K)P/C Ratio: 0.02Puts (3K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich setup in Health Care

n=30

Fade rate: 13 of 29 (45%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Health Care in the last 2 years. 13 of 29 faded and 16 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.6%, with a raw directional average of -1.3% (modestly negative historical bias).

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

5.26%

of float

Insider

0.00%

of float

Holders

390

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Exor N.V.
182,543,970 sh · $5.0B
18.96%
Flat

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Philips beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.31%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may see muted movement.

Miss

If Philips misses estimates, history suggests a potential decline of about 1.53%, raising concerns about ongoing operational issues.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiency improvements.
2Details on revenue growth in digital health and patient care segments.
3Management's outlook on future demand for health care equipment.
4Insights into customer engagement strategies and their effectiveness.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the health care equipment market.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Koninklijke Philips N.V. (PHG) is a leading health care technology company focused on improving people's health and well-being through meaningful innovation....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability, and this quarter's consensus estimate is $0.19.

$0.19

Revenue

Total revenue is essential for understanding the company's overall performance, with an expected consensus of $3.9 billion.

$3.9B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

PHG Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+11.00%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.62%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiency.
Commitment to innovation in health technology.
Plans to enhance customer engagement and satisfaction.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Philips to report modest earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $0.19 and revenue of $3.9 billion. Given the recent earnings misses, there is cautious sentiment in the market.

Bull Case

If Philips can exceed EPS expectations and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround in performance and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses estimates again, it may raise concerns about its operational challenges and impact the stock negatively.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.19

Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability, and this quarter's consensus estimate is $0.19.

Revenue

$3.9B

Total revenue is essential for understanding the company's overall performance, with an expected consensus of $3.9 billion.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Philips achieve an EPS of at least $0.19?

This specific EPS target is crucial for restoring investor confidence after recent misses.

What is the outlook for revenue growth in key segments?

Understanding revenue growth in critical areas will help gauge the company's recovery trajectory.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Philips' potential for a turnaround, as recent operational improvements could lead to better-than-expected results this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

Philips has a history of beating EPS estimates 67% of the time, suggesting potential upside.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, indicating expectations for volatility.

Recent insider activity has been stable, suggesting confidence in management's strategy.

Key Risk

If revenue growth in key segments exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Philips can overcome recent operational challenges and return to a growth trajectory.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.19 or better, along with revenue exceeding $3.9 billion, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.19, coupled with stagnant revenue growth, would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±15.16%

Historical Avg

±10.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of over 15%, indicating heightened uncertainty around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±15.2% while PHG has averaged ±10.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

34.4%

Calls (118K)P/C Ratio: 0.02Puts (3K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich setup in Health Care

n=30

Fade rate: 13 of 29 (45%)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

5.26%

of float

Insider

0.00%

of float

Holders

390

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Exor N.V.
182,543,970 sh · $5.0B
18.96%
Flat

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Philips beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.31%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may see muted movement.

Miss

If Philips misses estimates, history suggests a potential decline of about 1.53%, raising concerns about ongoing operational issues.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiency improvements.
2Details on revenue growth in digital health and patient care segments.
3Management's outlook on future demand for health care equipment.
4Insights into customer engagement strategies and their effectiveness.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the health care equipment market.