Equity Profile

SRAD

Sportradar Group AG

Consumer DiscretionaryCasinos & Gaming$4.0B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Sportradar Group AG operates in the consumer discretionary sector, focusing on the casinos and gaming industry. The company provides sports data and analytics, which are increasingly important as the gaming landscape evolves with technology and consumer preferences.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$0.07

Revenue

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain customers in a competitive market.

$382M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

SRAD Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

+60.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.85%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Sportradar reported an EPS of -$0.02, significantly missing the estimate of $0.06. This disappointing performance led to an 11.34% drop in stock price the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Sportradar's upcoming earnings, with expectations for a modest recovery in EPS and revenue. However, the company has struggled to meet estimates in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If Sportradar can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a turnaround in performance and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Continued misses on earnings and revenue could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's growth prospects.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.07

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$382M

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain customers in a competitive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.07?

A positive surprise could indicate improved operational efficiency and boost investor confidence.

What are the revenue growth expectations for this quarter?

Strong revenue growth is crucial for validating the company's market position and future prospects.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Sportradar's potential for a rebound, given the recent shifts in consumer behavior towards online gaming and sports betting.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 21.95% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not align with the company's actual performance.

The recent historical trend shows that the company has a mixed record of beating estimates, suggesting potential for a surprise.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in above $0.09, it could significantly shift market sentiment towards a more bullish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a series of disappointing results, and investors are looking for signs of a turnaround.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.09 or higher would confirm a strong recovery and growth outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.06 would reinforce concerns about the company's ability to meet market expectations.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±21.95%

Historical Avg

±8.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±22.0% while SRAD has averaged ±8.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

89.8%

Calls (1.3M)P/C Ratio: 0.45Puts (516K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 15 of 28 (54%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 15 of 28 faded and 13 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.5%, with a raw directional average of +2.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

History suggests that a beat could lead to a positive reaction of around +2.6%, confirming a potential turnaround in the company's performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further clarity on growth prospects.

Miss

A miss could result in a decline of approximately -4.5%, further eroding investor confidence in the company's growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new partnerships or contracts that could drive revenue growth.
2Insights into customer acquisition strategies and market expansion plans.
3Comments on operational efficiencies and cost management efforts.
4Discussion of competitive pressures in the gaming industry.
5Management's outlook on future earnings and revenue guidance.

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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$0.07

Revenue

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain customers in a competitive market.

$382M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

SRAD Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

+60.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.85%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Sportradar reported an EPS of -$0.02, significantly missing the estimate of $0.06. This disappointing performance led to an 11.34% drop in stock price the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Sportradar can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a turnaround in performance and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Continued misses on earnings and revenue could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's growth prospects.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.07

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$382M

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to attract and retain customers in a competitive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.07?

A positive surprise could indicate improved operational efficiency and boost investor confidence.

What are the revenue growth expectations for this quarter?

Strong revenue growth is crucial for validating the company's market position and future prospects.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Sportradar's potential for a rebound, given the recent shifts in consumer behavior towards online gaming and sports betting.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 21.95% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not align with the company's actual performance.

The recent historical trend shows that the company has a mixed record of beating estimates, suggesting potential for a surprise.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in above $0.09, it could significantly shift market sentiment towards a more bullish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a series of disappointing results, and investors are looking for signs of a turnaround.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.09 or higher would confirm a strong recovery and growth outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.06 would reinforce concerns about the company's ability to meet market expectations.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±21.95%

Historical Avg

±8.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±22.0% while SRAD has averaged ±8.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

89.8%

Calls (1.3M)P/C Ratio: 0.45Puts (516K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 15 of 28 (54%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

History suggests that a beat could lead to a positive reaction of around +2.6%, confirming a potential turnaround in the company's performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further clarity on growth prospects.

Miss

A miss could result in a decline of approximately -4.5%, further eroding investor confidence in the company's growth trajectory.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new partnerships or contracts that could drive revenue growth.
2Insights into customer acquisition strategies and market expansion plans.
3Comments on operational efficiencies and cost management efforts.
4Discussion of competitive pressures in the gaming industry.
5Management's outlook on future earnings and revenue guidance.