Equity Profile

STAG

STAG Industrial, Inc.

Real EstateIndustrial REITs$7.1B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring and managing industrial properties across the United States....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share (EPS) is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, and it helps investors gauge performance against expectations.

N/A

Occupancy Rate

The occupancy rate reflects how well STAG is filling its properties, which directly impacts revenue and profitability.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

STAG Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring and managing industrial properties across the United States. With a market cap of $7 billion, the company plays a significant role in the industrial real estate sector, which has been bolstered by the growth of e-commerce and logistics demands.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.07%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.09%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, STAG reported an EPS of $0.65, matching expectations, and the stock experienced a slight increase of 0.20% the following day. The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, indicating strong operational performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of the earnings report, given STAG's strong track record of beating EPS estimates. However, concerns about economic conditions and rising interest rates may temper enthusiasm.

Bull Case

If STAG continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal robust demand for industrial space and effective management of its properties, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about occupancy rates and rental income, leading to a decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the current occupancy rate and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Occupancy rates are critical for revenue generation, and any decline could signal challenges in the market.

What is the outlook for rental income growth in the upcoming quarters?

Guidance on rental income growth will help investors assess the company's ability to maintain profitability and dividends.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

While the market may be cautious about STAG's growth due to economic conditions, the company's consistent ability to beat EPS estimates suggests it may outperform expectations this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

STAG has a 100% EPS beat rate in recent quarters, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that investors may be underestimating potential volatility.

Key Risk

If the occupancy rate remains stable or improves, it could challenge the bearish sentiment surrounding the stock.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter, the focus is on STAG's ability to maintain its strong performance in a potentially challenging economic environment.

Bull Confirmed If

A reported EPS above $0.66 with a stable or increasing occupancy rate would confirm the bullish outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.63 coupled with a declining occupancy rate would signal a bearish trend.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.44%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 9.44%, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.4% while STAG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

20.3%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.10Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Real Estate in the last 2 years. 19 of 30 (63%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.0% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If STAG beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.09% on the first day, confirming ongoing strength in the industrial sector.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see limited movement as investors reassess their outlook.

Miss

If STAG misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline, with the average reaction being negative, indicating investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on occupancy rates and any changes in tenant demand.
2Guidance on rental income growth for the next quarter.
3Comments on the impact of economic conditions on operations.
4Details on any new property acquisitions or dispositions.
5Insights into management's long-term strategy for growth.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring and managing industrial properties across the United States....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share (EPS) is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, and it helps investors gauge performance against expectations.

N/A

Occupancy Rate

The occupancy rate reflects how well STAG is filling its properties, which directly impacts revenue and profitability.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

STAG Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.07%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.09%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If STAG continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal robust demand for industrial space and effective management of its properties, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about occupancy rates and rental income, leading to a decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the current occupancy rate and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Occupancy rates are critical for revenue generation, and any decline could signal challenges in the market.

What is the outlook for rental income growth in the upcoming quarters?

Guidance on rental income growth will help investors assess the company's ability to maintain profitability and dividends.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

While the market may be cautious about STAG's growth due to economic conditions, the company's consistent ability to beat EPS estimates suggests it may outperform expectations this quarter.

Supporting Evidence

STAG has a 100% EPS beat rate in recent quarters, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that investors may be underestimating potential volatility.

Key Risk

If the occupancy rate remains stable or improves, it could challenge the bearish sentiment surrounding the stock.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter, the focus is on STAG's ability to maintain its strong performance in a potentially challenging economic environment.

Bull Confirmed If

A reported EPS above $0.66 with a stable or increasing occupancy rate would confirm the bullish outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.63 coupled with a declining occupancy rate would signal a bearish trend.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.44%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of approximately 9.44%, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.4% while STAG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

20.3%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.10Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If STAG beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.09% on the first day, confirming ongoing strength in the industrial sector.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see limited movement as investors reassess their outlook.

Miss

If STAG misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline, with the average reaction being negative, indicating investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on occupancy rates and any changes in tenant demand.
2Guidance on rental income growth for the next quarter.
3Comments on the impact of economic conditions on operations.
4Details on any new property acquisitions or dispositions.
5Insights into management's long-term strategy for growth.