Equity Profile

STAG

STAG Industrial, Inc.

Real EstateIndustrial REITs$7.2B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on acquiring and operating industrial properties across the United States....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance, which investors closely monitor.

$0.65

Occupancy Rate

A high occupancy rate indicates strong demand for STAG's properties, which can lead to higher revenues.

95%

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

STAG Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on acquiring and operating industrial properties across the United States. With a market cap of $7 billion, the company plays a significant role in the industrial real estate sector, which has been bolstered by the growth of e-commerce and logistics demands.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.07%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.09%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, STAG reported an EPS of $0.65, matching analysts' expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 0.20% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about STAG's upcoming earnings, especially given its consistent EPS performance in recent quarters. However, the lack of revenue guidance adds uncertainty.

Bull Case

If STAG continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong occupancy rates, it could lead to increased investor confidence and stock appreciation.

Bear Case

Concerns about rising interest rates and potential economic slowdowns could negatively impact STAG's performance, especially if occupancy rates decline.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

$0.65

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance, which investors closely monitor.

Occupancy Rate

95%

A high occupancy rate indicates strong demand for STAG's properties, which can lead to higher revenues.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's expansion and ability to generate income from its properties.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the occupancy rate be for Q2 2026?

Occupancy rates are critical for revenue generation, and any decline could signal trouble for the company.

Will there be any guidance on revenue growth for the upcoming quarters?

Guidance on revenue growth can provide insights into management's expectations and overall market conditions.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the resilience of STAG's occupancy rates despite economic headwinds, which could lead to stronger-than-expected performance.

Supporting Evidence

STAG has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that investors are expecting significant news.

Insider activity has shown no significant selling, which may indicate confidence in the company's prospects.

Key Risk

If occupancy rates come in below 90%, it could lead to a reevaluation of the company's growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around the company's ability to maintain high occupancy rates amidst economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

Occupancy rates above 95% would confirm strong demand and support the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

Occupancy rates falling below 90% would raise concerns about demand and confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.44%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±9.4% while STAG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

20.3%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.10Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Real Estate in the last 2 years. 19 of 30 (63%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.0% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If STAG beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.09% on the first day, confirming positive momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management is cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess.

Miss

If STAG misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.00%, which could trigger further selling pressure.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on occupancy rates and how they compare to previous quarters.
2Management's outlook on revenue growth and any guidance provided.
3Comments on the impact of economic conditions on demand for industrial properties.
4Insights into any new acquisitions or developments in the pipeline.
5Discussion of any changes in rental rates or lease renewals.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on acquiring and operating industrial properties across the United States....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance, which investors closely monitor.

$0.65

Occupancy Rate

A high occupancy rate indicates strong demand for STAG's properties, which can lead to higher revenues.

95%

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

STAG Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.07%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.09%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, STAG reported an EPS of $0.65, matching analysts' expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 0.20% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about STAG's upcoming earnings, especially given its consistent EPS performance in recent quarters. However, the lack of revenue guidance adds uncertainty.

Bull Case

If STAG continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong occupancy rates, it could lead to increased investor confidence and stock appreciation.

Bear Case

Concerns about rising interest rates and potential economic slowdowns could negatively impact STAG's performance, especially if occupancy rates decline.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

$0.65

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance, which investors closely monitor.

Occupancy Rate

95%

A high occupancy rate indicates strong demand for STAG's properties, which can lead to higher revenues.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's expansion and ability to generate income from its properties.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the occupancy rate be for Q2 2026?

Occupancy rates are critical for revenue generation, and any decline could signal trouble for the company.

Will there be any guidance on revenue growth for the upcoming quarters?

Guidance on revenue growth can provide insights into management's expectations and overall market conditions.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the resilience of STAG's occupancy rates despite economic headwinds, which could lead to stronger-than-expected performance.

Supporting Evidence

STAG has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that investors are expecting significant news.

Insider activity has shown no significant selling, which may indicate confidence in the company's prospects.

Key Risk

If occupancy rates come in below 90%, it could lead to a reevaluation of the company's growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around the company's ability to maintain high occupancy rates amidst economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

Occupancy rates above 95% would confirm strong demand and support the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

Occupancy rates falling below 90% would raise concerns about demand and confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.44%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±9.4% while STAG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

20.3%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.10Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If STAG beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.09% on the first day, confirming positive momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management is cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess.

Miss

If STAG misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.00%, which could trigger further selling pressure.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on occupancy rates and how they compare to previous quarters.
2Management's outlook on revenue growth and any guidance provided.
3Comments on the impact of economic conditions on demand for industrial properties.
4Insights into any new acquisitions or developments in the pipeline.
5Discussion of any changes in rental rates or lease renewals.