Equity Profile

SWK

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

IndustrialsIndustrial Machinery & Supplies & Components$12.2B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is a leading provider of tools and industrial machinery, operating in the industrials sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and will help assess whether they can maintain their positive surprise trend.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will provide insight into demand for Stanley Black & Decker's products and overall market performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

SWK Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is a leading provider of tools and industrial machinery, operating in the industrials sector. The company is known for its strong brand portfolio and innovation in tools and security solutions, making it a key player in the construction and home improvement markets.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+34.32%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.92%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Stanley Black & Decker reported an EPS of $0.80, exceeding expectations by over 30%. However, the stock fell by 3.12% the following day, indicating market skepticism despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about Stanley Black & Decker's upcoming earnings report, given their consistent earnings surprises in the past. However, there are concerns about potential revenue growth and market conditions affecting demand.

Bull Case

If the company continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand and operational efficiency, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or shows signs of declining margins, it could lead to a negative market reaction, especially given the recent stock performance.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be critical in determining market sentiment and stock movement.

How is the company addressing supply chain challenges?

With ongoing global supply chain issues, understanding how Stanley Black & Decker is managing these challenges will be key to assessing future revenue growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Stanley Black & Decker's ability to manage costs effectively, which could lead to a stronger-than-expected EPS despite revenue concerns.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, indicating strong operational management.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility, which could favor a positive surprise.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in above $0.90, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment in the market.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Stanley Black & Decker can maintain its earnings momentum in a challenging economic environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.90 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.60 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues with demand or cost management.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±19.14%

Historical Avg

±4.7%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±19.1% while SWK has averaged ±4.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

38.8%

Calls (31K)P/C Ratio: 2.78Puts (12K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If the company beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.65%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may react neutrally, reflecting uncertainty in future growth.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.92%, indicating market disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

Senate only

Est. Notional

$15,001.00–$50,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-MIGary C PetersSen.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on supply chain management and its impact on production.
2Details on revenue growth in key segments like tools and security.
3Management's outlook on market demand for the rest of the year.
4Insights into cost management strategies and their effectiveness.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the industrial tools market.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is a leading provider of tools and industrial machinery, operating in the industrials sector....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and will help assess whether they can maintain their positive surprise trend.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will provide insight into demand for Stanley Black & Decker's products and overall market performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

SWK Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+34.32%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.92%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If the company continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand and operational efficiency, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or shows signs of declining margins, it could lead to a negative market reaction, especially given the recent stock performance.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be critical in determining market sentiment and stock movement.

How is the company addressing supply chain challenges?

With ongoing global supply chain issues, understanding how Stanley Black & Decker is managing these challenges will be key to assessing future revenue growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Stanley Black & Decker's ability to manage costs effectively, which could lead to a stronger-than-expected EPS despite revenue concerns.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, indicating strong operational management.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility, which could favor a positive surprise.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in above $0.90, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment in the market.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Stanley Black & Decker can maintain its earnings momentum in a challenging economic environment.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.90 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.60 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues with demand or cost management.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±19.14%

Historical Avg

±4.7%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±19.1% while SWK has averaged ±4.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

38.8%

Calls (31K)P/C Ratio: 2.78Puts (12K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If the company beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 4.65%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may react neutrally, reflecting uncertainty in future growth.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.92%, indicating market disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

Senate only

Est. Notional

$15,001.00–$50,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-MIGary C PetersSen.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on supply chain management and its impact on production.
2Details on revenue growth in key segments like tools and security.
3Management's outlook on market demand for the rest of the year.
4Insights into cost management strategies and their effectiveness.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the industrial tools market.