Equity Profile

TXN

Texas Instruments Incorporated

Information TechnologySemiconductors$259.4B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) is a leading semiconductor company that designs and manufactures a wide range of electronic components, including microcontrollers and processors. As a key player in the information technology sector, TXN is vital for various industries, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics, especially as demand for advanced technologies continues to grow.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Expected to be around $1.68

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and meet demand in the semiconductor space.

Not available

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TXN Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.92%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.39%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Texas Instruments reported an EPS of $1.68, surpassing expectations by 22.45%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.36% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Texas Instruments' upcoming earnings, especially after a strong performance last quarter. However, the lack of specific guidance may lead to uncertainty.

Bull Case

If TXN continues to exceed EPS expectations, it could signal strong demand for its products, leading to increased investor confidence and stock price appreciation.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of slowing growth, it could lead to a decline in stock price as investors reassess their outlook.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Expected to be around $1.68

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue Growth

Not available

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and meet demand in the semiconductor space.

Gross Margin

Not available

Gross margin reflects the efficiency of production and pricing strategies, which are crucial in the competitive semiconductor industry.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?

The EPS figure will be crucial in determining whether Texas Instruments can maintain its strong performance and investor confidence.

How is revenue growth trending in key segments?

Understanding revenue growth in critical areas will provide insight into the company's market position and future prospects.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Texas Instruments to exceed EPS expectations due to strong demand in the automotive and industrial sectors.

Supporting Evidence

TXN has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, suggesting a trend of strong performance.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, indicating heightened expectations.

Recent semiconductor demand trends suggest a rebound that may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $1.50, it could challenge the current positive sentiment and lead to a reassessment of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Texas Instruments for signs of continued growth in a competitive semiconductor landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

A reported EPS of $1.75 or higher would confirm strong demand and operational efficiency.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.50 would raise concerns about demand and profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.78%

Historical Avg

±1.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±13.8% while TXN has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

61.3%

Calls (398K)P/C Ratio: 0.63Puts (421K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Semiconductors

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 4 of 9 faded and 5 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -0.5% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If TXN beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +0.44%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a slight decline, with historical patterns showing an average move of +0.02% when expectations are not met.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$501,002.00–$1.0M

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-OKKevin HernRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on demand trends in the automotive sector.
2Insights into pricing strategies for semiconductor products.
3Comments on supply chain stability and its impact on production.
4Guidance on revenue expectations for the upcoming quarters.
5Any new product announcements or technological advancements.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Expected to be around $1.68

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and meet demand in the semiconductor space.

Not available

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TXN Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.92%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.39%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Texas Instruments reported an EPS of $1.68, surpassing expectations by 22.45%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.36% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Texas Instruments' upcoming earnings, especially after a strong performance last quarter. However, the lack of specific guidance may lead to uncertainty.

Bull Case

If TXN continues to exceed EPS expectations, it could signal strong demand for its products, leading to increased investor confidence and stock price appreciation.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of slowing growth, it could lead to a decline in stock price as investors reassess their outlook.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Expected to be around $1.68

EPS is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue Growth

Not available

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and meet demand in the semiconductor space.

Gross Margin

Not available

Gross margin reflects the efficiency of production and pricing strategies, which are crucial in the competitive semiconductor industry.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?

The EPS figure will be crucial in determining whether Texas Instruments can maintain its strong performance and investor confidence.

How is revenue growth trending in key segments?

Understanding revenue growth in critical areas will provide insight into the company's market position and future prospects.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Texas Instruments to exceed EPS expectations due to strong demand in the automotive and industrial sectors.

Supporting Evidence

TXN has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, suggesting a trend of strong performance.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, indicating heightened expectations.

Recent semiconductor demand trends suggest a rebound that may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $1.50, it could challenge the current positive sentiment and lead to a reassessment of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Texas Instruments for signs of continued growth in a competitive semiconductor landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

A reported EPS of $1.75 or higher would confirm strong demand and operational efficiency.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.50 would raise concerns about demand and profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.78%

Historical Avg

±1.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±13.8% while TXN has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

61.3%

Calls (398K)P/C Ratio: 0.63Puts (421K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Semiconductors

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If TXN beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +0.44%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a slight decline, with historical patterns showing an average move of +0.02% when expectations are not met.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$501,002.00–$1.0M

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-OKKevin HernRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on demand trends in the automotive sector.
2Insights into pricing strategies for semiconductor products.
3Comments on supply chain stability and its impact on production.
4Guidance on revenue expectations for the upcoming quarters.
5Any new product announcements or technological advancements.