Equity Profile

YSS

York Space Systems, Inc.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$1.3B

Aug12Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on satellite systems and space technology....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

$-0.11

Revenue

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's market demand and overall business health.

$110M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

YSS Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on satellite systems and space technology. With a market cap of $1 billion, the company plays a crucial role in the growing space industry, which is increasingly important for communications, defense, and scientific research.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-408.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.86%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, York Space Systems reported an EPS of $-0.89, significantly missing the expected $-0.17. The stock reacted negatively, declining by 2.86% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect York Space Systems to report a loss this quarter, with revenue projections around $110 million. Given the previous quarter's significant miss, there is cautious sentiment surrounding the upcoming results.

Bull Case

If the company can narrow its losses and show improved revenue, it may signal a turnaround, boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

A continued trend of losses and stagnant revenue could raise concerns about the company's viability and future growth prospects.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.11

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

Revenue

$110M

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's market demand and overall business health.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS come in better than the consensus estimate of $-0.11?

A smaller loss than expected could indicate improved operational efficiency and boost investor sentiment.

Can revenue exceed the $110 million consensus?

Higher revenue would suggest growing demand for York's products and services, which is crucial for the company's recovery.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate the potential for revenue growth driven by new contracts in the satellite sector, which could lead to better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

The aerospace and defense sector is seeing increased government spending, which could benefit York.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that investors are anticipating a surprise.

The company's recent focus on cost-cutting measures may not yet be fully reflected in analyst estimates.

Key Risk

If revenue exceeds $110 million, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether York Space Systems can turn around its recent performance and show signs of growth.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS loss of less than $-0.11 and revenue above $110 million would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

Reporting an EPS loss greater than $-0.11 and revenue below $105 million would support a bearish view.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±36.96%

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Detail

ATM IV

1.3%

30d HV

144.3%

Calls (136K)P/C Ratio: 0.27Puts (64K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 6.5%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If York beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.86%, confirming a positive shift in momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain stable, but cautious commentary could lead to a muted reaction.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.86%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's profitability.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships that could drive revenue growth.
2Details on cost management strategies and their impact on EPS.
3Insights into market demand for satellite systems and how it affects future projections.
4Management's commentary on competitive positioning within the aerospace and defense sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

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Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on satellite systems and space technology....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

$-0.11

Revenue

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's market demand and overall business health.

$110M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

YSS Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-408.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.86%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, York Space Systems reported an EPS of $-0.89, significantly missing the expected $-0.17. The stock reacted negatively, declining by 2.86% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If the company can narrow its losses and show improved revenue, it may signal a turnaround, boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

A continued trend of losses and stagnant revenue could raise concerns about the company's viability and future growth prospects.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.11

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

Revenue

$110M

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's market demand and overall business health.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS come in better than the consensus estimate of $-0.11?

A smaller loss than expected could indicate improved operational efficiency and boost investor sentiment.

Can revenue exceed the $110 million consensus?

Higher revenue would suggest growing demand for York's products and services, which is crucial for the company's recovery.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate the potential for revenue growth driven by new contracts in the satellite sector, which could lead to better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

The aerospace and defense sector is seeing increased government spending, which could benefit York.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that investors are anticipating a surprise.

The company's recent focus on cost-cutting measures may not yet be fully reflected in analyst estimates.

Key Risk

If revenue exceeds $110 million, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether York Space Systems can turn around its recent performance and show signs of growth.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS loss of less than $-0.11 and revenue above $110 million would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

Reporting an EPS loss greater than $-0.11 and revenue below $105 million would support a bearish view.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±36.96%

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Detail

ATM IV

1.3%

30d HV

144.3%

Calls (136K)P/C Ratio: 0.27Puts (64K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If York beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.86%, confirming a positive shift in momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may remain stable, but cautious commentary could lead to a muted reaction.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.86%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's profitability.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships that could drive revenue growth.
2Details on cost management strategies and their impact on EPS.
3Insights into market demand for satellite systems and how it affects future projections.
4Management's commentary on competitive positioning within the aerospace and defense sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime