Equity Profile

ACHC

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.

Health CareHealth Care Facilities$2.8B

Jul29Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. operates in the health care sector, focusing on providing behavioral health services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

0.48

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to attract and retain patients, which is vital for growth in the health care industry.

878M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ACHC Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. operates in the health care sector, focusing on providing behavioral health services. With a market cap of $3 billion, the company plays a crucial role in addressing mental health needs, a growing concern in today's society.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+28.28%

Avg Stock Reaction

+3.69%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Acadia reported an EPS of $0.37, significantly beating expectations of $0.28. The stock reacted positively, gaining 2.47% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on expanding service offerings.
Commitment to improving patient care and outcomes.
Plans to enhance operational efficiencies.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are generally optimistic about Acadia's upcoming earnings, expecting a solid performance based on past results. The consensus EPS estimate is $0.48, indicating continued growth.

Bull Case

If Acadia beats EPS expectations, it could signal strong operational performance and increased demand for its services, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations, it could raise concerns about its growth trajectory and lead to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

0.48

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

878M

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to attract and retain patients, which is vital for growth in the health care industry.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Acadia achieve an EPS of $0.48 or higher?

This figure is crucial as it sets the tone for the company's financial health and growth potential.

How does revenue compare to the consensus estimate of $878M?

Revenue performance will indicate the company's ability to attract patients and manage costs effectively.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Acadia's ability to exceed the EPS consensus due to its recent operational improvements and patient care initiatives.

Supporting Evidence

Acadia has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating strong operational execution.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Recent trends in mental health demand may not be fully reflected in analyst estimates.

Key Risk

If Acadia's revenue growth exceeds $890M, it could significantly shift market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results are pivotal as they will reflect Acadia's ability to navigate the competitive health care landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or better would confirm strong operational performance and growth.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.43 would raise concerns about profitability and growth prospects.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.18%

Historical Avg

±5.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.2% while ACHC has averaged ±5.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

56.7%

Calls (6K)P/C Ratio: 2.71Puts (11K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Acadia beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 5.20%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in future growth.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of about 0.85%, as the market reassesses growth prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on patient care initiatives and their impact on operational efficiency.
2Details on revenue growth drivers and patient acquisition strategies.
3Management's outlook on future market conditions and competitive landscape.
4Insights into cost management and profitability improvements.
5Any commentary on regulatory changes affecting the health care sector.

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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. operates in the health care sector, focusing on providing behavioral health services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

0.48

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to attract and retain patients, which is vital for growth in the health care industry.

878M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ACHC Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+28.28%

Avg Stock Reaction

+3.69%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Acadia reported an EPS of $0.37, significantly beating expectations of $0.28. The stock reacted positively, gaining 2.47% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on expanding service offerings.
Commitment to improving patient care and outcomes.
Plans to enhance operational efficiencies.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are generally optimistic about Acadia's upcoming earnings, expecting a solid performance based on past results. The consensus EPS estimate is $0.48, indicating continued growth.

Bull Case

If Acadia beats EPS expectations, it could signal strong operational performance and increased demand for its services, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations, it could raise concerns about its growth trajectory and lead to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

0.48

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

878M

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to attract and retain patients, which is vital for growth in the health care industry.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Acadia achieve an EPS of $0.48 or higher?

This figure is crucial as it sets the tone for the company's financial health and growth potential.

How does revenue compare to the consensus estimate of $878M?

Revenue performance will indicate the company's ability to attract patients and manage costs effectively.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Acadia's ability to exceed the EPS consensus due to its recent operational improvements and patient care initiatives.

Supporting Evidence

Acadia has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating strong operational execution.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Recent trends in mental health demand may not be fully reflected in analyst estimates.

Key Risk

If Acadia's revenue growth exceeds $890M, it could significantly shift market sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results are pivotal as they will reflect Acadia's ability to navigate the competitive health care landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or better would confirm strong operational performance and growth.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.43 would raise concerns about profitability and growth prospects.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.18%

Historical Avg

±5.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.2% while ACHC has averaged ±5.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

56.7%

Calls (6K)P/C Ratio: 2.71Puts (11K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Acadia beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 5.20%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in future growth.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline of about 0.85%, as the market reassesses growth prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on patient care initiatives and their impact on operational efficiency.
2Details on revenue growth drivers and patient acquisition strategies.
3Management's outlook on future market conditions and competitive landscape.
4Insights into cost management and profitability improvements.
5Any commentary on regulatory changes affecting the health care sector.