Equity Profile

ADT

ADT Inc.

Consumer DiscretionarySpecialized Consumer Services$5.5B

Jul30Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

ADT Inc. is a leading provider of security and automation solutions for homes and businesses....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well ADT is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.23

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and demand for ADT's services, which is vital for assessing growth.

$1.3B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ADT Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

ADT Inc. is a leading provider of security and automation solutions for homes and businesses. Operating in the consumer discretionary sector, ADT plays a crucial role in enhancing safety and security, which is increasingly important in today's world. With a market cap of $5 billion, the company is well-positioned to benefit from trends in consumer spending on security services.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+17.79%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.39%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, ADT reported an EPS of $0.23, exceeding expectations by 21%. The stock reacted positively, gaining over 5% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on expanding customer base and enhancing service offerings.
Commitment to improving operational efficiency and cost management.
Plans to invest in new technology to enhance security solutions.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect ADT to maintain its strong performance with a consensus EPS of $0.23. Investors are keen to see if the company can sustain its growth trajectory amid competitive pressures.

Bull Case

If ADT beats EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its services, leading to increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS expectations or shows signs of declining revenue, it may raise concerns about its market position and growth prospects.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.23

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well ADT is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.3B

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and demand for ADT's services, which is vital for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will ADT's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.23?

A beat would reinforce the company's ability to manage costs and generate profits, which is crucial for investor confidence.

What are the revenue growth expectations for this quarter?

Revenue growth is essential for sustaining long-term profitability and indicates the demand for ADT's services.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate ADT's ability to leverage new technology and expand its service offerings, which could drive higher revenue growth than anticipated.

Supporting Evidence

ADT's consistent EPS beats suggest strong operational management that may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

The company's historical performance indicates a pattern of positive surprises, which could lead to a more favorable outlook than analysts expect.

Key Risk

If ADT's revenue growth exceeds $1.3 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching ADT's ability to maintain profitability and revenue growth amid competitive pressures.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.24 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.23 could raise concerns about ADT's growth and market position.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.67%

Historical Avg

±7.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±12.7% while ADT has averaged ±7.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

29.6%

Calls (13K)P/C Ratio: 7.53Puts (303K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 13 of 21 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +2.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If ADT beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.39% on the next trading day, confirming positive momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of around 0.39% following an earnings miss.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on customer acquisition strategies and their impact on revenue.
2Details on new technology investments and their expected return on investment.
3Management's outlook on competitive pressures in the security services market.
4Insights into operational efficiencies and cost management initiatives.
5Any changes in guidance or expectations for future quarters.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

ADT Inc. is a leading provider of security and automation solutions for homes and businesses....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well ADT is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.23

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and demand for ADT's services, which is vital for assessing growth.

$1.3B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ADT Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+17.79%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.39%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, ADT reported an EPS of $0.23, exceeding expectations by 21%. The stock reacted positively, gaining over 5% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on expanding customer base and enhancing service offerings.
Commitment to improving operational efficiency and cost management.
Plans to invest in new technology to enhance security solutions.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect ADT to maintain its strong performance with a consensus EPS of $0.23. Investors are keen to see if the company can sustain its growth trajectory amid competitive pressures.

Bull Case

If ADT beats EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its services, leading to increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS expectations or shows signs of declining revenue, it may raise concerns about its market position and growth prospects.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.23

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well ADT is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.3B

Total revenue reflects the overall sales performance and demand for ADT's services, which is vital for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will ADT's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.23?

A beat would reinforce the company's ability to manage costs and generate profits, which is crucial for investor confidence.

What are the revenue growth expectations for this quarter?

Revenue growth is essential for sustaining long-term profitability and indicates the demand for ADT's services.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate ADT's ability to leverage new technology and expand its service offerings, which could drive higher revenue growth than anticipated.

Supporting Evidence

ADT's consistent EPS beats suggest strong operational management that may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

The company's historical performance indicates a pattern of positive surprises, which could lead to a more favorable outlook than analysts expect.

Key Risk

If ADT's revenue growth exceeds $1.3 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching ADT's ability to maintain profitability and revenue growth amid competitive pressures.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.24 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.23 could raise concerns about ADT's growth and market position.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.67%

Historical Avg

±7.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±12.7% while ADT has averaged ±7.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

29.6%

Calls (13K)P/C Ratio: 7.53Puts (303K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If ADT beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.39% on the next trading day, confirming positive momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of around 0.39% following an earnings miss.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on customer acquisition strategies and their impact on revenue.
2Details on new technology investments and their expected return on investment.
3Management's outlook on competitive pressures in the security services market.
4Insights into operational efficiencies and cost management initiatives.
5Any changes in guidance or expectations for future quarters.