Equity Profile
Pre-Earnings Brief
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. (RHP) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the hotel and resort industry....
EPS
Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well RHP is managing its costs and revenues.
Occupancy Rates
High occupancy rates are crucial for hotel revenues, and any improvement or decline will signal market demand.
1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
1Q
EPS Beat Rate
50%
Avg EPS Surprise
+1.22%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.16%
In Q1-2026, RHP reported an EPS of $2.14, exceeding expectations by 6.36%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.42% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of RHP's earnings report, especially after a positive surprise last quarter. However, the lack of analyst estimates adds uncertainty.
Bull Case
If RHP can maintain or improve its occupancy rates and ADR, it could lead to strong revenue growth and further EPS surprises.
Bear Case
Conversely, any signs of declining occupancy or increased operational costs could dampen investor sentiment and lead to a negative stock reaction.
EPS
N/AEarnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well RHP is managing its costs and revenues.
Occupancy Rates
N/AHigh occupancy rates are crucial for hotel revenues, and any improvement or decline will signal market demand.
Average Daily Rate (ADR)
N/AADR reflects the pricing power of RHP's hotels and can indicate overall health in the hospitality sector.
Expectations
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What are the current occupancy rates and how do they compare to previous quarters?
Occupancy rates directly impact revenue, and any significant changes could influence market expectations.
Q2
What is the average daily rate (ADR) for the quarter?
ADR will indicate pricing power and overall demand in the hospitality sector, which is crucial for RHP's profitability.
Edge
Why consensus could be wrong
The market may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in travel demand, especially in group bookings, which could significantly boost RHP's performance this quarter.
Supporting Evidence
Historical data shows that RHP has a 50% EPS beat rate, indicating potential for positive surprises.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.
Recent trends in travel indicate a strong recovery, which may not be fully reflected in current analyst estimates.
Key Risk
If occupancy rates exceed 75%, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.
Edge
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will hinge on how well RHP navigates the ongoing recovery in the hospitality sector.
Bull Confirmed If
Occupancy rates above 75% and ADR growth of 5% or more would confirm a strong recovery in demand.
Bear Confirmed If
Occupancy rates below 65% or a decline in ADR would signal potential challenges in the current market environment.
Pre-Earnings Positioning
Implied Move
±15.82%
Historical Avg
±1.2%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±15.8% while RHP has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.3%
30d HV
24.7%
Edge
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate
n=30Fade rate: 2 of 8 (25%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Real Estate in the last 2 years. 6 of 8 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 1.3%, with a raw directional average of -0.3% (modestly negative historical bias).
Preparation
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If RHP beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see a modest positive reaction, confirming the recovery narrative.
In-Line / Cautious
A cautious in-line report may lead to limited movement, as investors await clearer signals of sustained recovery.
Miss
If RHP misses expectations, the stock could drop, reflecting concerns over occupancy and pricing power, with historical patterns suggesting a potential decline.
Preparation
House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
2
2 buys·0 sells
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$2,002.00–$30,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
2 trades
Net buying
Recent Transactions
Traded Mar 3, 2026 · disclosed Apr 7, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Jan 15, 2026 · disclosed Feb 13, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.
Preparation
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
ONEOK, Inc.